The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Española 53.3%
Draw 24.5%
Deportes Antofagasta 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
28%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.8%
27.3%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Antofagasta's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Antofagasta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Unión Española - Deportes Antofagasta Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Antofagasta will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Española: 31.2% – 83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 4.
Recent matches Unión Española is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Antofagasta is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Unión Española is a favorite.
Last 23 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 11 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Unión Española won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.
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