The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 39.8%
Draw 29.5%
Deportes Antofagasta 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
27%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
25.3%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Deportes Antofagasta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos de Arica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Antofagasta Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Antofagasta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Tapia B. (G) 8. Barrios A. 5. Rivera J. 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 14. Guerra C. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 17. Moya Godoy M. 11. Zedan N. 18. Galleguillos A. 22. Donadell N. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C.
12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 3. Maluenda M. 6. Diaz C. 13. Abuhadba Z. 22. Suarez M. 8. Leyton S. 20. Cuadra A. 16. Gallegos Panozzo M. 7. Bravo C. 9. Monreal J. 17. Hurtado B.
Substitutes
20. Abalos A. 23. Cazula A. 4. Iturra M. 30. Munoz J. (G) 24. Pereira D. 16. Reyes G. 10. Sagredo B.
14. Campillay K. 25. Cisternas J. P. (G) 15. Ibacache A. 21. Manzano F. 31. Ramirez S. 10. Rojas D. 4. Tapia B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Galleguillos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Galleguillos A. ↓, Sagredo B. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Monreal J. ⚽,
65', Melivilu Fuentes C. (Penalty Awarded),
65', 1 - 1, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
66', Bravo C. ↓, Campillay K. ↑,
74', Barrios A. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
84', Zedan N. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
84', Gallegos Panozzo M. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
85', Hurtado Perez F. 🟨,
90', Rencoret C. ↓, Iturra M. ↑,
90+2', Hurtado B. ↓, Ibacache A. ↑,
90+4', Abalos A. 🟨,
90+4', Leyton S. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 2.
San Marcos de Arica has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Antofagasta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Antofagasta
26
11
8
7
44:26
18
41
7
San Marcos de Arica
26
10
9
7
33:24
9
39
Last Results with these Odds
San Marcos de Arica - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.07%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Tapia B. (G) 
Zedan N. 
Suarez M. 
Gallegos Panozzo M. 
Hurtado B. 
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