The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Antofagasta 63.6%
Draw 21%
Curicó Unido 15.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.2%
24.5%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60%
21.9%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Antofagasta's performance.
Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido Predictions
Users Predictions:
Deportes Antofagasta will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 32. Aros V. 11. Bandez J. D. 6. Diaz C. 26. Hinojosa S. 15. Ibacache A. 21. Manzano F. 9. Monreal J. 31. Ramirez S. 10. Rojas D. 22. Suarez M.
1. Vergara T. (G) 9. Benegas L. 4. Colombo R. 37. Guzman R. 23. Lopez L. 14. Medina C. 21. Ormeno E. 8. Romo J. 24. Saez W. 38. Saldivia V. 15. Sanhueza H.
Substitutes
13. Abuhadba Z. 7. Bravo C. 25. Cisternas J. P. (G) 20. Cuadra A. 17. Hurtado B. 18. Sepulveda N. 4. Tapia B.
11. Aliaga I. 43. Gutierrez F. 17. Inostroza B. 2. Munoz D. 20. Ramirez Cuevas A. E. 10. Retamales J. 22. Tello D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Monreal J. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Suarez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ormeno E. ↓, Retamales J. ↑,
46', Saez W. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
56', Romo J. 🟨,
58', Saldivia V. ↓, Aliaga I. ↑,
61', Suarez M. 🟨,
63', Colombo R. 🟨,
64', Suarez M. ↓, Tapia B. ↑,
64', Hinojosa S. ↓, Cuadra A. ↑,
64', Monreal J. ↓, Hurtado B. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Hurtado B. ⚽,
70', Bandez J. D. ↓, Bravo C. ↑,
73', Aros V. ↓, Sepulveda N. ↑,
78', Guzman R. ↓, Gutierrez F. ↑,
78', Lopez L. ↓, Ramirez Cuevas A. E. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 0, Hurtado B. ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 1.
Antofagasta arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Curicó Unido has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Curicó Unido could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Antofagasta has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this matchup, Antofagasta is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Antofagasta in today's match, at odds of 1.53.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Antofagasta has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:20 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Antofagasta against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.1:0.8 per game).