Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 26

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Regional de Antofagasta (Antofagasta)


	Deportes Antofagasta		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.05	3.05	3.55
	2.13	2.97	3.73
	4.21	3.46	1.82	Watch
	2.08	3.3	3.37
	2.05	3.05	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.37)	3.16 ↑ (2.9)	3.21 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Antofagasta
39.7%

Draw
30.4%

Curicó Unido
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

31.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

30.3%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Deportes Antofagasta aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Antofagasta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Antofagasta (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Antofagasta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hurtado Perez F. (G) 2. Berardo N. 3. Maluenda M. 8. Paredes R. 16. Viveros B. 33. Abuhadba Z. 10. Souper A. 15. Baez F. 26. Hinojosa S. 7. Bravo C. 32. Figueroa T.	25. Munoz H. (G) 14. Gonzalez J. 15. Sanhueza H. 17. Meneses C. 19. de La Fuente R. 4. Guisolfo B. 10. Rojas D. 20. Herrera C. 32. Ibarra H. 7. Fernandez N. 13. Bustamante C.
Substitutes
24. Alvarez F. 1. Cisternas J. (G) 20. Cuadra A. 6. Diaz C. 9. Hurtado B. 30. Jara I. 17. Nieto B.	3. Garrido I. 9. Isnaldo E. 6. Oliver F. 18. Ortiz F. 29. Quinteros M. 24. Saez W. 1. Vergara T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Sanhueza H. ⚽,
12', Maluenda M. 🟨,
35', Jara I. 🟨,
36', Munoz H. 🟨,
45', Bustamante C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Fernandez N. ⚽,
58', Paredes R. ↓, Hurtado B. ↑,
58', Maluenda M. ↓, Nieto B. ↑,
58', Hinojosa S. ↓, Cuadra A. ↑,
64', Bravo C. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
66', Ibarra H. ↓, Isnaldo E. ↑,
69', Souper A. ↓, Jara I. ↑,
78', Bustamante C. ↓, Quinteros M. ↑,
85', Meneses C. ↓, Oliver F. ↑,
85', de La Fuente R. ↓, Saez W. ↑,
90+7', Alvarez F. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 1.

Antofagasta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Curicó Unido has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Antofagasta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Antofagasta won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.09.25	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Antofagasta	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Santiago Morning	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Antofagasta	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Antofagasta	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWTWT
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.09.25	Curicó Unido - San Luis de Quillota	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Unión San Felipe - Curicó Unido	4:2 ✺
30.08.25	Curicó Unido - Deportes Temuco	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.05.25	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0
20.10.24	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	0:2
02.06.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
15.09.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido	0:0
Chilean Cup
21.08.22	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1
17.08.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido	4:2
Chilean Primera Division
17.04.22	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	2:0

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