Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 1

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Chile	19:30	TNT Sports


	Deportes Concepción		Huachipato

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.10	2.50	Watch
	2.30	3.30	2.55
	2.35	3.50	2.50	Watch
	2.37	3.60	2.63
	2.36	3.82	2.61	Watch
	2.40	3.40	2.62
	2.34	3.45	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (3.1)	3.45 ↑ (3.11)	2.56 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
38.2%

Draw
26.3%

Huachipato
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

29.9%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

29.1%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Concepción's performance.

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Concepción that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Deportes Concepción - Huachipato Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Huachipato will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Concepción: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Concepción (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 37. Grillo F. 21. Rodriguez N. 29. Varas D. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 16. Sandoval M. 20. Henriquez J. 24. Cavalleri M. 30. Espinoza E. 32. Larrivey J. (C)	12. Bravo C. (G) 2. Guaiquil G. 5. Caroca R. 14. Vargas N. 27. Velasquez L. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 8. Silva S. 30. Altez K. 9. Altamirano L. 7. Briceno M.
Substitutes
40. Caceres F. 3. Carrasco D. 9. Escobar C. 31. Fuentes N. 19. Jara A. 13. Suarez C. 34. Toro C. 11. Vejar B. 12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)	33. Abarzua A. 26. Antinirre H. 10. Canete E. 22. Carcamo J. 49. Cruzat I. (G) 11. Figueroa J. 21. Herrera C. 13. Malanca R. 23. Martinez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Grillo F. 🟨,
29', Vargas N. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Cavalleri M. ⚽, Espinoza E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Cavalleri M. 🟨,
56', Cavalleri M. ↓, Caceres F. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Altamirano L. ⚽, Altez K. (A),
61', Leon Munoz M. A. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
74', Espinoza E. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Martinez C. ⚽,
77', Henriquez J. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Larrivey J. ⚽,
84', Larrivey J. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
84', Davila Carvajal M. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
86', Altez K. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
89', Diaz F. 🟥,
90+6', 3 - 2, Escobar C. ⚽, Sandoval M. (A),
90+6', Sepulveda C. 🟥,
90+7', Escobar C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 1.

Deportes Concepción has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Huachipato is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Cup
21.06.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.06.26	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Limache	3:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
05.06.26	Deportes Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.05.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Deportes Concepción - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLLW
- CD Huachipato
Chilean Cup
21.06.26	Huachipato - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Ñublense - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	Huachipato - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.26	Huachipato - Universidad Católica	0:3 ✺
24.05.26	Deportes Concepción - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
24.05.26	Deportes Concepción - Huachipato	2:0
Chilean Copa de la Liga
04.05.26	Deportes Concepción - Huachipato	0:1
21.03.26	Huachipato - Deportes Concepción	2:2
Chilean Cup
10.07.25	Huachipato - Deportes Concepción	2:0
02.07.25	Deportes Concepción - Huachipato	1:1
02.08.15	Huachipato - Deportes Concepción	3:2
12.07.15	Deportes Concepción - Huachipato	1:0

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