Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 15

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)

Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)


	Ñublense		Huachipato

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.20	4.00	Watch
	2.05	3.20	3.70
	2.02	3.30	3.55	Watch
	2.05	3.24	4.17
	1.97	3.25	4.04	Watch
	1.95	3.00	3.60
	2.04	3.26	4.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.96)	3.21 ↓ (3.27)	3.88 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
46.7%

Draw
29.2%

Huachipato
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Ñublense - Huachipato Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Huachipato will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Huachipato (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Huachipato (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Huachipato (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 4. Bosso Torres O. 15. Valencia S. 8. Graciani G. 35. Mansilla C. 21. Reyes L. (C) 28. Rivera M. 14. Campusano J. 19. Tapia I. 20. Jeraldino I.	12. Bravo C. (G) 13. Malanca R. 14. Vargas N. 5. Caroca R. 2. Guaiquil G. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 30. Altez K. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 27. Velasquez L. 7. Briceno M. 9. Altamirano L.
Substitutes
6. Calderon P. 18. Cespedes D. 11. Molina Canto L. 25. Munoz H. (G) 7. Ovelar F. 9. Rami F. 13. Saavedra D. 16. Sanhueza D. 22. Valdes A.	26. Antinirre H. 16. Arriagada L. 10. Canete E. 22. Carcamo J. 49. Cruzat I. (G) 11. Figueroa J. 21. Herrera C. 36. Osorio M. 20. Toro C.
Coaches
Ribera J.	Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Altamirano L. ⚽, Briceno M. (A),
9', 0 - 2, Altez K. ⚽, Leon Munoz M. A. (A),
43', 1 - 2, Graciani G. ⚽, Tapia I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mansilla C. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
54', Bravo C. 🟨,
58', Campos Mosqueira F. ↓, Calderon P. ↑,
68', Altez K. 🟨,
70', Altez K. ↓, Carcamo J. ↑,
73', Jeraldino I. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
77', Graciani G. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
77', Bosso Torres O. ↓, Valdes A. ↑,
87', Valencia S. 🟨,
88', Leon Munoz M. A. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
88', Guaiquil G. ↓, Osorio M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Rami F. ⚽, Valdes A. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Huachipato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ñublense is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Huachipato	24	10	4	10	34:39	-5	34
8	Nublense	23	8	8	7	28:31	-3	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Copa de la Liga
06.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.05.26	Cobresal - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Colo-Colo - Ñublense	6:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
10.05.26	Universidad Católica - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTLT
- CD Huachipato
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	Huachipato - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.26	Huachipato - Universidad Católica	0:3 ✺
24.05.26	Deportes Concepción - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Huachipato - Unión La Calera	3:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
10.05.26	Coquimbo Unido - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
24.11.25	Ñublense - Huachipato	0:1
Chilean Cup
16.07.25	Huachipato - Ñublense	2:1
13.07.25	Ñublense - Huachipato	2:2
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.25	Huachipato - Ñublense	0:1
10.11.24	Huachipato - Ñublense	1:0
20.06.24	Ñublense - Huachipato	3:0
03.12.23	Ñublense - Huachipato	0:1

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