Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 24

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jona H. (Chi)


	Deportes Concepción		Unión La Calera

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.00	3.25	3.70
	1.92	3.2	3.95	Watch
	2.01	3.41	4.12
	1.97	3.41	3.82	Watch
	1.96	3.35	4.05
	1.87	3.3	3.82	Watch
	1.94	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)	3.32 ↑ (3.26)	3.83 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
47.7%

Draw
28%

Unión La Calera
24.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Deportes Concepción - Unión La Calera Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 21. Rodriguez N. 37. Grillo F. 29. Varas D. 18. Rodriguez Y. 30. Espinoza E. 16. Sandoval M. 20. Henriquez J. 23. Riquelme C. 32. Larrivey J. (C)	1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. 15. Salomoni J. 27. Gutierrez D. 4. Gutierrez C. 23. Perez R. 5. Moya C. 17. Hiriart M. 11. Saez S. (C) 20. Cruz J. 32. Ferreyra B.
Substitutes
27. Acosta D. 40. Caceres F. 3. Carrasco D. 24. Cavalleri M. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 9. Escobar C. 19. Jara A. 8. Martinez F. 7. Romero F. 12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)	19. Campos M. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 30. Fernandez M. 6. Lavin V. 8. Leiva Y. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 3. Palma N. 29. Soto J. 21. Torrente V.
Coaches
Diaz F.	Armijo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Salomoni J. 🟨,
21', Riquelme C. 🟨,
28', Sandoval M. 🟨,
28', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hiriart M. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Espinoza E. ⚽, Riquelme C. (A),
66', Henriquez J. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
66', Riquelme C. ↓, Davila Carvajal M. ↑,
68', Cruz J. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
68', Ferreyra B. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
74', Perez R. 🟨,
80', Perez R. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
84', Sandoval M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
89', Moya C. ↓, Leiva Y. ↑,
90+3', Espinoza E. ↓, Cavalleri M. ↑,
90+3', Larrivey J. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
90+6', Caceres A. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Diaz C. ⚽, Oyarzo Munoz B. (A),

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Unión La Calera could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Deportes Concepción is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Deportes Concepción has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	D. Concepcion	25	9	5	11	27:30	-3	32
16	Union La Calera	26	5	6	15	23:43	-20	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Cup
04.10.26	OHiggins - Deportes Concepción	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Deportes Concepción - OHiggins	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Deportes Concepción - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Concepción	0:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.09.26	Colo-Colo - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWT
- Unión La Calera
Chilean Cup
26.09.26	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	0:1 penalties ✺
23.09.26	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.09.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	OHiggins - Unión La Calera	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
13.04.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes Concepción	1:0

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