Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 10

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)


	Deportes Concepción		Deportes La Serena

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.57	Watch
	2.58	3.2	2.68	Watch
	2.66	3.33	2.82
	2.55	3.33	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.54	3.26	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.37)	3.22 ↓ (3.42)	2.67 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
36.4%

Draw
28.8%

Deportes La Serena
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.3%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

27.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Deportes Concepción - Deportes La Serena Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 21. Rodriguez N. 13. Suarez C. 37. Grillo F. 3. Carrasco D. 17. Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 19. Jara A. 18. Rodriguez Y. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 39. Escobar B. 32. Larrivey J. (C)	1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 2. Zanini A. 33. Delgado R. 17. Salazar Y. 4. Mac Allister F. 16. Gutierrez J. 14. Chamorro F. 6. Diaz S. 10. Vargas J. (C) 34. Stefanelli N.
Substitutes
24. Cavalleri M. 7. Gillard A. 28. Gonzalez M. 20. Henriquez J. 26. Romero L. 16. Sandoval M. 10. Valencia Rossel L. 11. Vejar B. 12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)	5. Alarcon L. 15. Contreras B. 26. Dinamarca F. 9. Henriquez A. 23. Marin M. 28. Orellana J. 11. Rubio D. 22. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 20. Velasquez M.
Coaches
Lemma W.	Gutierrez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
11', 1 - 0, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Vargas J. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 1 - 2, Vargas J. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 1 - 3, Stefanelli N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Grillo F. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
46', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
46', Escobar B. ↓, Henriquez J. ↑,
46', 2 - 3, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ⚽, Larrivey J. (A),
55', Suarez C. ↓, Valencia Rossel L. ↑,
59', Lanzillotta F. 🟨,
60', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
67', 3 - 3, Larrivey J. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Diaz S. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
75', Stefanelli N. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
76', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
90+3', Gutierrez J. ↓, Contreras B. ↑,
90+3', Vargas J. ↓, Dinamarca F. ↑,
90+5', Carrasco D. 🟥,
90+7', Dinamarca F. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 10).

Deportes Concepción is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Deportes La Serena is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	La Serena	25	8	9	8	39:42	-3	33
11	D. Concepcion	25	9	5	11	27:30	-3	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
13.04.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes Concepción	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
29.03.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Huachipato - Deportes Concepción	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLLT
- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
11.04.26	Deportes La Serena - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	4:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
28.03.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.04.16	Deportes Concepción - Deportes La Serena	4:0
22.11.15	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Concepción	3:2
10.05.15	Deportes Concepción - Deportes La Serena	4:2
13.12.14	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Concepción	0:0
14.05.14	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Concepción	2:0

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