Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 9

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)

Referee: Araos M. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports Premium


	Unión La Calera		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.22	3.15	3.25	Watch
	2.27	3.32	3.36
	2.11	3.26	3.53	Watch
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.28	3.22	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.18)	3.18 ↓ (3.23)	3.33 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
42.4%

Draw
29.5%

Deportes Concepción
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Unión La Calera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Unión La Calera - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión La Calera: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión La Calera (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. 6. Caseres R. 3. Palma N. 27. Gutierrez D. 24. Requena J. 29. Soto J. 10. Mendez K. 11. Saez S. (C) 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 19. Campos M.	25. Araya N. (G) 11. Vejar B. 13. Suarez C. 37. Grillo F. 3. Carrasco D. 27. Sepulveda N. 19. Jara A. 10. Valencia Rossel L. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 24. Cavalleri M. 32. Larrivey J. (C)
Substitutes
20. Cruz J. 18. Encinas A. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 4. Gutierrez C. 17. Hiriart M. 26. Maturana M. 5. Moya C. 13. Pastene A. 9. Pozzo F.	39. Escobar B. 30. Espinoza E. 7. Gillard A. 28. Gonzalez M. 20. Henriquez J. 17. Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 18. Rodriguez Y. 16. Sandoval M. 12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)
Coaches
Cicotello M.	Lemma W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Mendez K. ⚽, Diaz C. (A),
58', Valencia Rossel L. ↓, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↑,
58', Sepulveda N. ↓, Henriquez J. ↑,
58', Jara A. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
66', Campos M. ↓, Pozzo F. ↑,
72', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 🟨,
74', Diaz C. 🟨,
75', Cavalleri M. ↓, Espinoza E. ↑,
76', Henriquez J. 🟨,
78', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
78', Soto J. ↓, Hiriart M. ↑,
88', Larrivey J. ↓, Escobar B. ↑,
89', Escobar B. 🟨,
90+4', Diaz C. ↓, Moya C. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).

Recent performances by Unión La Calera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportes Concepción is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Unión La Calera could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	D. Concepcion	23	9	4	10	25:26	-1	31
16	Union La Calera	23	4	5	14	19:40	-21	17

Last Results with these Odds

Unión La Calera - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.38%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
04.04.26	Deportes Limache - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
28.03.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Universidad de Chile - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.26	Unión La Calera - OHiggins	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWLT
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
05.04.26	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
29.03.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Huachipato - Deportes Concepción	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.03.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTL

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