Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 30

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla (Copiapó)

Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Deportes Copiapó		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	9.5	5	1.27	Watch
	8.75	5.25	1.31
	9.5	5.5	1.3	Watch
	9.38	5.7	1.29
	8.63	5.26	1.32	Watch
	9	5	1.25
	9.35	5.45	1.29	Watch
	9.5	5.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.2 ↑ (8.13)	5.33 ↑ (5.05)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Copiapó
10.2%

Draw
17.5%

Colo-Colo
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

18.4%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.9%

17.6%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Deportes Copiapó - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: Colo-Colo will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Espinoza N. (G) 17. Nieto B. 30. Carrasco D. 15. Garcia D. 3. Calderon E. 28. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 5. Manzano F. 20. Gonzalez Y. 10. Luna J. (C) 26. Torres F. 29. Quinteros M.	1. Cortes B. (G) 3. Gutierrez D. 4. Saldivia A. 15. Amor E. 21. Wiemberg E. 22. Isla M. 23. Vidal A. 8. Pavez E. 7. Carlos Palacios 9. Correa J. 32. Cepeda L.
Substitutes
4. Araya M. 6. Calisto F. 31. Diaz I. 1. Leyton R. (G) 21. Medel de la Fuente M. 24. Orellana R. 11. Reynero F.	11. Bolados M. 5. Gil L. 24. Hernandez L. 16. Opazo Lara O. 29. Paiva G. 34. Pizarro V. 12. Villanueva E. (G)
Coaches
Caputto H.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Medel de la Fuente M. ↑,
64', Gutierrez D. ↓, Bolados M. ↑,
72', Torres F. ↓, Reynero F. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Reynero F. ⚽, Nieto B. (A),
75', Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. ↓, Calisto F. ↑,
76', Nieto B. 🟨,
76', Amor E. ↓, Opazo Lara O. ↑,
76', Isla M. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Vidal A. ⚽, Pavez E. (A),
85', Correa J. 🟨,
86', Quinteros M. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
87', Luna J. ↓, Orellana R. ↑,

Preview

Copiapó is Relegated to Primera B

Colo-Colo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )

Copiapó is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colo-Colo is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Colo-Colo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Colo-Colo is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Copiapó won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.6:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Copiapó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 2:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Primera Division
02.11.24	Audax Italiano - Deportes Copiapó	4:1 ✺
20.10.24	Deportes Copiapó - Everton de Viña	3:5 ✺
07.10.24	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Deportes Copiapó - Palestino	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Universidad Católica - Deportes Copiapó	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWL
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
03.11.24	Colo-Colo - Deportes Iquique	3:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
29.10.24	Colo-Colo - Deportes Magallanes	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
20.10.24	Palestino - Colo-Colo	2:3 ✺
16.10.24	Unión La Calera - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Huachipato - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
02.06.24	Colo-Colo - Deportes Copiapó	0:1
14.09.23	Colo-Colo - Deportes Copiapó	1:1
22.01.23	Deportes Copiapó - Colo-Colo	2:5
Chilean Cup
22.10.15	Colo-Colo - Deportes Copiapó	2:2
14.10.15	Deportes Copiapó - Colo-Colo	2:3

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