Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 29

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Audax Italiano		Deportes Copiapó

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.57	4.1	5.25
	1.57	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4.3	5.73
	1.58	4.12	5.34	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.59	4.15	5.11	Watch
	1.57	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.7)	4.12 ↑ (3.55)	5.46 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Italiano
60%

Draw
22.8%

Deportes Copiapó
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

24.9%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Audax Italiano's performance.

Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Audax Italiano - Deportes Copiapó Predictions

Users Predictions: Audax Italiano will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ahumada T. (G) 7. Fernandez N. (C) 5. Torres F. 6. Guiffrey G. 23. Matus E. 2. Rojas Munoz O. J. 15. Cecchini E. 16. Gil Romero G. 10. Villanueva C. 20. Jeraldino I. 32. Arriagada L.	22. Espinoza N. (G) 6. Calisto F. 15. Garcia D. 17. Nieto B. 30. Carrasco D. 5. Manzano F. 10. Luna J. (C) 32. Soto B. 4. Araya M. 26. Torres F. 29. Quinteros M.
Substitutes
14. Alvarez G. 31. Carabali O. (G) 19. Dittborn S. 17. Guajardo P. 9. Palacios L. 4. Pina D. 22. Riep A.	3. Calderon E. 49. Espinoza Olave S. A. 9. Figueroa T. 20. Gonzalez Y. 1. Leyton R. (G) 11. Reynero F.
Coaches
Ribera J.	Caputto H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Arriagada L. ⚽, Matus E. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Arriagada L. ⚽, Jeraldino I. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Jeraldino I. ⚽, Cecchini E. (A),
45', Soto B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Matus E. ↓, Pina D. ↑,
54', Soto B. 🟨,
61', Luna J. 🟨,
63', Quinteros M. 🟨,
65', Luna J. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
65', Quinteros M. ↓, Reynero F. ↑,
65', Araya M. ↓, Orellana R. ↑,
69', Villanueva C. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
69', Guiffrey G. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
73', Torres F. ↓, Espinoza Olave S. A. ↑,
73', Nieto B. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
78', Gil Romero G. ↓, Dittborn S. ↑,
78', Jeraldino I. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Palacios L. (Pen),
88', 4 - 1, Orellana R. (Pen),

Preview

Copiapó is Relegated to Primera B

Recent matches Audax Italiano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Copiapó is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Audax Italiano is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Audax Italiano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Audax Italiano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
20.10.24	Audax Italiano - Huachipato	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Colo-Colo - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Audax Italiano - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Cobresal - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Audax Italiano - Cobreloa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWWW
- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Primera Division
20.10.24	Deportes Copiapó - Everton de Viña	3:5 ✺
07.10.24	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Deportes Copiapó - Palestino	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Universidad Católica - Deportes Copiapó	4:1 ✺
15.09.24	Deportes Copiapó - Unión Española	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
26.05.24	Deportes Copiapó - Audax Italiano	2:1
16.07.23	Deportes Copiapó - Audax Italiano	1:0
29.01.23	Audax Italiano - Deportes Copiapó	3:0
Chilean Cup
28.09.16	Deportes Copiapó - Audax Italiano	2:2
15.09.16	Audax Italiano - Deportes Copiapó	3:1

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