Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 18

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)

Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Unión La Calera		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.80	1.68	Watch
	4.50	3.60	1.75
	4.25	3.50	1.78	Watch
	4.79	3.66	1.79
	4.54	3.63	1.76	Watch
	4.70	3.60	1.76
	4.58	3.45	1.69	Watch
	4.30	3.50	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↓ (4.79)	3.59 ↓ (3.8)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
20.7%

Draw
25.9%

Colo-Colo
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

24.6%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.6%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	11.8%	82.4%

Unión La Calera - Colo Colo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Colo-Colo will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 6. Lavin V. 15. Salomoni J. 27. Gutierrez D. 25. Diaz C. (C) 5. Moya C. 2. Andia Leon Y. W. 3. Palma N. 14. Villanueva C. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 19. Campos M.	25. Maureira G. (G) 2. Villagra J. 23. Vidal A. (C) 4. Sosa J. 28. Rojas J. 6. Alarcon T. 5. Mendez V. 21. Wiemberg E. 8. Madrid A. 24. Hernandez L. 19. Romero M.
Substitutes
20. Cruz J. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 30. Fernandez M. 4. Gutierrez C. 17. Hiriart M. 8. Leiva Y. 10. Mendez K. 9. Pozzo F. 29. Soto J.	22. Aquino C. 34. Catalan R. 30. Cuevas Y. 13. Fernandez M. 7. Marchant F. 3. Olguin A. 10. Pastran L. 50. Raipan F. 12. Villanueva E. (G)
Coaches
Cicotello M.	Ortiz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Campos M. ⚽, Diaz C. (A),
21', Andia Leon Y. W. 🟨,
32', Vidal A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Alarcon T. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Romero M. ⚽, Villagra J. (A),
66', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Mendez K. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Hernandez L. ⚽, Madrid A. (A),
78', Salomoni J. ↓, Pozzo F. ↑,
78', Villanueva C. ↓, Hiriart M. ↑,
86', Hernandez L. ↓, Aquino C. ↑,
86', Andia Leon Y. W. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
86', Romero M. ↓, Raipan F. ↑,
89', Mendez V. 🟨,
90+4', Wiemberg E. ↓, Olguin A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 0.

In recent matches, Unión La Calera has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Colo-Colo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Unión La Calera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Colo-Colo is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colo Colo	23	17	3	3	48:22	26	54
16	Union La Calera	23	4	5	14	19:40	-21	17

Last Results with these Odds

Colo-Colo - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.92%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Cup
05.08.26	Santiago Wanderers - Unión La Calera	0:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
01.08.26	Cobresal - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
27.07.26	Unión La Calera - Everton de Viña	1:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
12.07.26	Coquimbo Unido - Unión La Calera	1:1 penalties ✺
08.07.26	Unión La Calera - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTWL
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
01.08.26	Everton de Viña - Colo-Colo	3:4 ✺
24.07.26	Colo-Colo - Deportes Limache	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Millonarios - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
06.07.26	Colo-Colo - Deportes Recoleta	2:2 ✺
02.07.26	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
15.02.26	Colo-Colo - Unión La Calera	1:0
23.11.25	Colo-Colo - Unión La Calera	4:1
01.06.25	Unión La Calera - Colo-Colo	0:1
16.10.24	Unión La Calera - Colo-Colo	0:1
28.04.24	Colo-Colo - Unión La Calera	3:1
12.11.23	Colo-Colo - Unión La Calera	2:0
Chilean Cup
04.07.23	Colo-Colo - Unión La Calera	6:1

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