Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 27

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla (Copiapó) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Chile	15:00	TNT Sports


	Deportes Copiapó		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.10	2.70
	2.15	3.32	3.3
	2.22	3.59	2.93	Watch
	2.11	3.2	3.25
	2.22	3.4	3.09
	2.15	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.33)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportes Copiapó
42%

Draw
27.7%

Cobreloa
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.4%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Copiapó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Deportes Copiapó - Cobreloa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Temperini N. (G) 28. Espoz F. 21. Fernandez E. 20. Filla M. 27. Lopez M. 4. Ortiz A. 11. Ortiz J. 7. Ross C. 15. Santander J. 5. Torres F. (C) 6. Zamorano C.	30. Tapia D. (G) 15. Garcia D. 29. Gatica J. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 11. Gotti G. 10. Insaurralde C. 21. Muga C. 27. Sandoval M. 17. Tapia D. 6. Tapia M. 32. Velazco F.
Substitutes
31. Fuenzalida I. 10. Ledezma I. 1. Leyton R. (G) 13. Opazo D. 9. Palacios L. 8. Rios A. 23. Rojas M.	14. Aranguiz T. 1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 8. Cornejo L. 22. Delgado A. 37. Duma J. 19. Navarro Y. 35. Wastavino L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Espoz F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
46', Ortiz J. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Rios A. ⚽,
61', Rios A. 🟨,
62', Insaurralde C. ↓, Navarro Y. ↑,
62', Muga C. ↓, Aranguiz T. ↑,
70', Torres F. ↓, Opazo D. ↑,
75', Sandoval M. ↓, Delgado A. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Opazo D. ⚽,
78', Ross C. ↓, Fuenzalida I. ↑,
79', Gatica J. ↓, Duma J. ↑,
84', Fernandez E. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Gotti G. ⚽,
89', Lopez M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
90+8', Palacios L. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Liga de Primera).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 0.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Cobreloa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Copiapó has recorded 4 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:26 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Copiapó against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:5 goals (averaging 1.1:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cobreloa	29	15	9	5	52:30	22	54
8	Copiapo	29	11	8	10	43:42	1	41

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Copiapó - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.10.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Puerto Montt	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Copiapó	1:4 ✺
09.09.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Magallanes	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Copiapó	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Antofagasta	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTLL
- Cobreloa
Chilean Cup
07.10.26	Coquimbo Unido - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.10.26	Deportes Temuco - Cobreloa	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Cobreloa - Santiago Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
22.09.26	Cobreloa - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
10.09.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Cobreloa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.05.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	4:1
24.08.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	1:1
Chilean Cup
10.05.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	3:0
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.04.25	Deportes Copiapó - Cobreloa	1:1
Chilean Cup
28.01.25	Deportes Copiapó - Cobreloa	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
07.10.24	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	4:1
12.05.24	Deportes Copiapó - Cobreloa	4:0

Upcoming Matches