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Current Win Probability
Cobreloa 28.4%
Draw 27.4%
Coquimbo Unido 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
29.4%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
29.1%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobreloa's form might have worsened.
Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coquimbo Unido's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cobreloa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coquimbo Unido, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Cobreloa - Coquimbo Unido Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Coquimbo will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Tapia D. (G) 18. Mendez J. 35. Wastavino L. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 38. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 13. Quezada A. 29. Gatica J. 37. Duma J. 27. Sandoval M. 34. Orellana C. 19. Navarro Y.
1. Flores G. (G) 26. Soza L. 19. Arancibia J. 3. Fernandez M. (C) 28. Cabrera S. 10. Vadala G. 23. Zepeda M. 14. Cordero S. 36. Rojas J. 31. Pereira D. 35. Alfaro G.
Substitutes
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 2. Fajardo M. 39. Gaete B. 31. Gallardo E. 40. Jaldin F. 20. Matamoros F. 24. Porras R. 25. Roco V. 26. Tejerina A.
39. Blanco Y. 37. Calderon D. 21. Dorador C. (G) 29. Pons F. 12. Pratto L. 18. Rodriguez P. 34. Rojas P. 38. Saavedra L. 15. Zavala C.
Coaches
Salas M.
Caputto H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Fernandez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Rojas J. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
62', Duma J. ↓, Matamoros F. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Cabrera S. ⚽, Vadala G. (A),
70', Pratto L. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Orellana C. ⚽, Mendez J. (A),
72', Sandoval M. ↓, Porras R. ↑,
72', Quezada A. ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,
75', Pereira D. ↓, Pons F. ↑,
75', Alfaro G. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
80', Mendez J. ↓, Gaete B. ↑,
84', Vadala G. ↓, Blanco Y. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Gaete B. (Own goal),
90+5', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 1.
Cobreloa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Coquimbo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Coquimbo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Coquimbo holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Cobreloa has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:17 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cobreloa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:6 goals (averaging 2:1.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Coquimbo Unido - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.64%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Tapia D. (G) 
Duma J. 
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