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Current Win Probability
Cobreloa 52.8%
Draw 24.8%
Santiago Wanderers 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
27.2%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
27.7%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobreloa's performance.
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobreloa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Cobreloa - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 8. Cornejo L. 6. Tapia M. 17. Tapia D. 32. Velazco F. 14. Aranguiz T. 15. Garcia D. 21. Muga C. 11. Gotti G. (C) 10. Insaurralde C. 22. Delgado A.
36. Martinez B. (G) 16. Navarro P. 18. Felipe S. 31. Valenzuela C. 5. Navarro L. 8. Silva J. 15. Villarroel M. 38. Portilla D. 9. Camarda M. 14. Ponce C. 32. Vargas V.
Substitutes
37. Duma J. 20. Matamoros F. 19. Navarro Y. 38. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 27. Sandoval M. 30. Tapia D. (G) 35. Wastavino L.
35. Avello F. (G) 20. Avendano L. 23. Flores I. 10. Luna J. 37. San Martin D. 29. Silva C. 19. Villarroel C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Insaurralde C. 🟨,
11', Villarroel M. 🟨,
25', Portilla D. 🟥,
39', Camarda M. 🟨,
45+2', Villarroel M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vargas V. ↓, Villarroel C. ↑,
62', Aranguiz T. ↓, Duma J. ↑,
72', Delgado A. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
82', Camarda M. ↓, Silva C. ↑,
82', Ponce C. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
84', Garcia D. 🟥,
86', Insaurralde C. ↓, Navarro Y. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Navarro Y. ⚽,
90+3', Valenzuela C. ↓, Flores I. ↑,
90+3', Navarro L. ↓, San Martin D. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga de Primera).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Cobreloa (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Santiago Wanderers shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cobreloa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cobreloa holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cobreloa has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:38 (averaging 1.8:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cobreloa against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 21:12 goals (averaging 2.1:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Cobreloa
26
13
9
4
44:27
17
48
3
S. Wanderers
26
12
8
6
41:28
13
44
Last Results with these Odds
Cobreloa - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 46.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Santiago Wanderers - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 26.79%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 
Velazco F. 
Muga C. 
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