Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 10

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bueras (Santiago de Chile)


	Deportes Magallanes		Deportes Copiapó

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.28	3.15	3
	2.29	3.22	3.03
	2.3	3.26	3.05	Watch
	2.25	2.9	2.9
	2.23	3.18	2.98	Watch
	2.28	3.1	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.28)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2.97 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
40.3%

Draw
29.1%

Deportes Copiapó
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Deportes Magallanes aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Copiapó Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Magallanes will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Magallanes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munoz J. (G) 3. Walters A. 4. Vasquez M. (C) 6. James J. 30. Salinas Flores H. 7. Toledo A. 10. Jorquera C. 21. Quiroz J. 11. Fredes M. 19. Farfan R. 23. Alegre M.	22. Temperini N. (G) 2. Suarez N. 4. Ortiz A. (C) 13. Opazo D. 15. Santander J. 17. Kimura N. 6. Zamorano C. 8. Rios A. 21. Fernandez E. 28. Espoz F. 27. Lopez M.
Substitutes
35. Cabezas V. 32. Coronel S. 28. Guzman G. 5. Liuzzi B. 17. Olguin M. (G) 9. Peraza F. 24. Yanez F.	16. Espinoza Olave S. A. 10. Ledezma I. 1. Leyton R. (G) 24. Orellana R. 23. Rojas M. 7. Ross C. 19. Soza Quezada C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Lopez M. ⚽,
15', Lopez M. 🟨,
19', Quiroz J. 🟨,
39', Santander J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Suarez N. ⚽,
60', Ortiz A. 🟨,
62', Lopez M. ↓, Orellana R. ↑,
64', Farfan R. 🟨,
68', Espoz F. ↓, Ledezma I. ↑,
69', Alegre M. ↓, Peraza F. ↑,
69', Toledo A. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Jorquera C. ⚽,
74', Walters A. 🟨,
75', Fernandez E. ↓, Soza Quezada C. ↑,
75', Ortiz A. ↓, Ross C. ↑,
79', Walters A. ↓, Liuzzi B. ↑,
88', Jorquera C. ↓, Guzman G. ↑,
89', Salinas Flores H. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Zamorano C. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 3, Orellana R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 0.

Magallanes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Copiapó's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Copiapó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Magallanes could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magallanes	26	12	7	7	42:38	4	43
8	Copiapo	26	10	7	9	40:39	1	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.04.26	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Magallanes	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Wanderers	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Magallanes	2:2 ✺
30.03.26	Deportes Magallanes - Rangers de Talca	3:2 ✺
23.03.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Magallanes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTWT
- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.04.26	Deportes Copiapó - San Marcos de Arica	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Recoleta	2:4 ✺
28.03.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Iquique	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.10.25	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Magallanes	2:0
06.07.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Copiapó	0:1
Chilean Primera Division
08.10.23	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Magallanes	2:1
23.04.23	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Copiapó	0:2
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.10.22	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Magallanes	2:2
15.05.22	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Copiapó	1:0
30.10.21	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Magallanes	1:1

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