Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 8

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Fiscal de Talca (Talca)


	Rangers de Talca		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.1	2.68
	2.43	3.2	2.59
	2.59	3.14	2.74	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.63
	2.52	2.99	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.65)	3.06 ↓ (3.44)	2.66 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rangers de Talca
36.2%

Draw
29.7%

Unión Española
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26.1%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Rangers de Talca - Unión Española Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rangers will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Unión Española will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 13. Mora A. 27. Servetti C. 5. Silva S. 14. Acuna S. 24. Gomez T. 8. Marquez A. (C) 20. Moya G. 7. Ibanez I. 31. Munoz C. 19. Gonzalez D.	13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 21. Pereira S. 18. Aja J. 32. Molina L. 20. Wassenne M. 5. Machado W. 4. Celis M. 23. Ojeda U. 9. Vilches Araneda A. 8. Rubio P. (C)
Substitutes
17. Campestrini C. (G) 26. Herrera J. 4. Navarrete J. 22. Plaza D. 18. Rodriguez A. 3. Vasquez K. 11. Vicuna M.	3. Alarcon R. 15. Droguett B. 17. Massri F. 24. Norambuena G. 22. Nunez A. 19. Tolosa T. 12. Uribe E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Ibanez I. ⚽,
25', Munoz C. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Rubio P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Celis M. ↓, Massri F. ↑,
70', Vilches Araneda A. ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
72', Munoz C. ↓, Vicuna M. ↑,
74', Ibanez I. ↓, Navarrete J. ↑,
78', Mora A. 🟨,
78', Rubio P. 🟨,
80', Ojeda U. ↓, Tolosa T. ↑,
80', Molina L. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
82', Tolosa T. 🟨,
84', Marquez A. 🟨,
85', Gomez T. ↓, Vasquez K. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 10).

Rangers is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Unión Española is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	U. Espanola	26	10	6	10	32:34	-2	36
16	Rangers	26	4	6	16	23:42	-19	18

Last Results with these Odds

Rangers de Talca - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.06%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rangers de Talca
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.04.26	Rangers de Talca - San Marcos de Arica	2:3 ✺
30.03.26	Deportes Magallanes - Rangers de Talca	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Recoleta	2:4 ✺
15.03.26	Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Rangers de Talca - San Luis de Quillota	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Unión Española
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
10.04.26	Unión Española - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	San Marcos de Arica - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Unión Española - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Unión Española - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLL

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