Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 17

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tierra de Campeones (Iquique)

Referee: Carvajal R. (Chi)


	Deportes Iquique		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	2.98	3.2	2.38	Watch
	3.26	3.35	2.36
	3.20	2.97	2.38	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3
	2.98	3.38	2.33	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (3.03)	3.22 ↓ (3.39)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Iquique
30.6%

Draw
29.2%

Audax Italiano
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26.7%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Deportes Iquique - Audax Italiano Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Audax Italiano: 80.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Audax Italiano (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Audax Italiano will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Audax Italiano (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Requena L. (G) 6. Casanova L. 13. Jorquera M. 30. Blazquez M. 31. Sanchez S. 5. Fuentes C. 14. Davila Carvajal M. 26. Gomez M. 27. Henriquez A. 10. Puch E. 17. Gonzalez C.	1. Ahumada T. (G) 2. Rojas Munoz O. J. 6. Guiffrey G. 13. Ferrario E. 22. Espejo J. 23. Matus E. 8. Collao M. (C) 10. Valencia Rossel L. 9. Palacios L. 24. Orellana N. 27. Fuentes M.
Substitutes
12. Castillo D. (G) 19. Farfan R. 21. Fernandez C. D. N. 50. Marcotti L. 29. Moya M. 20. Orellana D. 18. Salinas Flores H.	29. Collao G. (G) 17. Eduardo Vargas 5. Gil Romero G. 7. Guajardo P. 15. Jimenez M. 3. Munoz C. 11. Riep A.
Coaches
Diaz F.	Ribera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Orellana N. 🟨,
30', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Jorquera M. (A),
53', Palacios L. ↓, Eduardo Vargas ↑,
53', Orellana N. ↓, Riep A. ↑,
63', Fuentes M. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
69', Henriquez A. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
69', Gomez M. ↓, Orellana D. ↑,
72', Puch E. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
74', Jorquera M. ↓, Salinas Flores H. ↑,
77', Rojas Munoz O. J. ↓, Gil Romero G. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 3.

Deportes Iquique is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Audax Italiano is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Audax Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Audax Italiano has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:39. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Iquique won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division
19.07.25	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Iquique	4:1 ✺
21.06.25	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Iquique	3:1 ✺
16.06.25	Deportes Iquique - Everton de Viña	1:2 ✺
12.06.25	Deportes Iquique - Colo-Colo	2:2 ✺
02.06.25	Cobresal - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
20.07.25	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
16.07.25	Audax Italiano - Curicó Unido	1:0 ✺
09.07.25	Curicó Unido - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
01.07.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Temuco	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
22.06.25	Audax Italiano - Colo-Colo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
21.02.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Iquique	4:2
20.07.24	Deportes Iquique - Audax Italiano	2:1
19.02.24	Audax Italiano - Deportes Iquique	2:3
11.02.21	Audax Italiano - Deportes Iquique	1:1
10.10.20	Deportes Iquique - Audax Italiano	2:1
14.09.19	Deportes Iquique - Audax Italiano	1:3
27.07.19	Audax Italiano - Deportes Iquique	3:1

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