Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 8

Date: 12 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tierra de Campeones (Iquique)

Referee: Lara J. (Chi)


	Deportes Iquique		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.15	Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.57
	3.1	3.4	2.18	Watch
	5.25	4.05	1.6
	5.54	4.09	1.52	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.57
	3.51	3.27	2.14	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (4.6)	3.66 ↓ (3.74)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Iquique
22.1%

Draw
26.3%

Colo-Colo
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

25.1%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

24.4%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Deportes Iquique - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colo-Colo: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Iquique (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.25 - Deportes Iquique (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Iquique (votes: 2 - 50%). Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Requena L. (G) 4. Rojas D. 30. Blazquez M. 26. Saborit E. 18. Salinas Flores H. (C) 14. Davila Carvajal M. 5. Fuentes C. 23. Hoyos E. 16. Soto B. 8. Pino S. 29. Moya M.	30. De Paul F. (G) 22. Isla M. 4. Saldivia A. 16. Opazo Lara O. 2. Villagra J. 23. Vidal A. (C) 25. Alarcon T. 7. Marchant F. 9. Correa J. 10. Aquino C. 20. Oroz A.
Substitutes
6. Casanova L. 17. Gonzalez C. 9. Javier Parraguez 13. Jorquera M. 20. Orellana D. 11. Ramos A. 1. Reyes M. (G)	3. Gutierrez D. 8. Pavez E. 34. Pizarro V. 19. Rodriguez S. 39. Vega S. 12. Villanueva E. (G) 14. Zavala C.
Coaches
Diaz F.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Vidal A. (Pen),
23', Opazo Lara O. 🟨,
35', Moya M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Saborit E. ⚽, Hoyos E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Saborit E. ↓, Casanova L. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Correa J. ⚽, Marchant F. (A),
53', Hoyos E. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Vidal A. (Own goal),
59', 2 - 2, Oroz A. ⚽, Marchant F. (A),
61', Opazo Lara O. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
61', Alarcon T. ↓, Pavez E. ↑,
70', Vidal A. ↓, Pizarro V. ↑,
70', Marchant F. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
74', Hoyos E. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
74', Davila Carvajal M. ↓, Orellana D. ↑,
79', Pino S. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
79', Correa J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
80', Aquino C. 🟨,
80', Moya M. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
87', Isla M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 1.

Deportes Iquique is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Colo-Colo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Deportes Iquique has had a series of away games.

In this match, Colo-Colo is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Colo-Colo will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Iquique won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division
02.06.25	Cobresal - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.05.25	Caracas - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
25.05.25	Deportes Iquique - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
19.05.25	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Cienciano - Deportes Iquique	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
01.06.25	Unión La Calera - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.05.25	Colo-Colo - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.05.25	Colo-Colo - Unión Española	4:1 ✺
19.05.25	Colo-Colo - Ñublense	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.05.25	Racing - Colo-Colo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
03.11.24	Colo-Colo - Deportes Iquique	3:0
25.05.24	Deportes Iquique - Colo-Colo	0:3
06.02.21	Deportes Iquique - Colo-Colo	0:0
31.10.20	Colo-Colo - Deportes Iquique	0:2
30.03.19	Colo-Colo - Deportes Iquique	2:0
19.08.18	Deportes Iquique - Colo-Colo	2:1
11.05.18	Colo-Colo - Deportes Iquique	0:0

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