The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Chile 71.6%
Draw 18%
Deportes Iquique 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.9%
19.9%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
13.5%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-25.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de Chile that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Iquique could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
18.2%
0%
Universidad de Chile - Deportes Iquique Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Deportes Iquique (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Universidad de Chile will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Universidad de Chile will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 3 - 75%). Deportes Iquique (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 6. Fernandez N. 22. Zaldivia M. 26. Formiliano F. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 16. Sepulveda M. 19. Altamirano J. 21. Diaz M. (C) 34. Moya F. 18. Di Yorio L. 27. Contreras R.
22. Requena L. (G) 4. Rojas D. 6. Casanova L. 18. Salinas Flores H. (C) 30. Blazquez M. 5. Fuentes C. 14. Davila Carvajal M. 16. Soto B. 20. Orellana D. 11. Ramos A. 8. Pino S.
Substitutes
28. Arce A. 10. Assadi L. 24. Diaz A. 11. Guerra N. 30. Montes G. 5. Ramirez N. 1. Toselli C. (G)
36. Bacca J. 12. Castillo D. (G) 21. Fernandez C. D. N. 27. Henriquez A. 9. Javier Parraguez 13. Jorquera M. 15. Rodriguez C.
Coaches
Alvarez G.
Diaz F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Ramos A. ⚽,
28', Soto B. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', Moya F. ↓, Assadi L. ↑,
55', Casanova L. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Di Yorio L. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
67', Pino S. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Contreras R. (Pen),
73', Fuentes C. ↓, Bacca J. ↑,
73', Orellana D. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
74', Soto B. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
74', Ramos A. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
84', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
84', Contreras R. 🟨,
85', Altamirano J. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
85', Sepulveda M. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
89', Blazquez M. 🟥,
90+4', 3 - 1, Zaldivia M. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟥,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 2.
Universidad de Chile is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportes Iquique has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Universidad de Chile is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:30. (average 1.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).