Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 13

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador (El Salvador)

Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)


	Cobresal		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.71	3.7	4.6
	1.71	3.95	4.5	Watch
	1.76	4.01	4.77
	1.65	3.98	4.84	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.2
	1.71	3.99	4.48	Watch
	1.71	3.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)	3.86 ↑ (3.6)	4.51 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobresal
54.8%

Draw
24.4%

Deportes Iquique
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	4.2%	2.1%

Cobresal - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Users Predictions: Cobresal will win (43 of 45 users predict this - 95.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.54% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cobresal will win (29 of 29 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pinos J. (G) 22. Astudillo A. 20. Tiznado J. 3. Toro C. 15. Fernandez V. 28. Cespedes D. 13. Mesias C. (C) 6. Valenzuela B. 14. Trinanes F. 18. Munder C. 9. Coelho D.	22. Requena L. (G) 7. Gomez J. 26. Saborit E. 30. Blazquez M. 13. Jorquera M. 11. Ramos A. (C) 5. Fuentes C. 36. Bacca J. 14. Davila Carvajal M. 24. Barrera B. 8. Pino S.
Substitutes
17. Barrera C. 16. Bechtholdt F. 8. Marquez A. 32. Moreno C. 24. Ramirez B. 12. Santander A. (G) 11. Vilches Araneda A.	21. Fernandez C. D. N. 17. Gonzalez C. 23. Hoyos E. 20. Orellana D. 1. Reyes M. (G) 15. Rodriguez C. 4. Rojas D.
Coaches
Huerta G.	Diaz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Ramos A. 🟨,
33', Mesias C. 🟨,
45+5', Fuentes C. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Coelho D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Valenzuela B. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
46', Barrera B. ↓, Orellana D. ↑,
46', Bacca J. ↓, Hoyos E. ↑,
49', Astudillo A. 🟨,
63', Cespedes D. 🟨,
69', Ramos A. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
70', Fuentes C. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
74', Tiznado J. ↓, Bechtholdt F. ↑,
76', Coelho D. ↓, Marquez A. ↑,
76', Trinanes F. ↓, Barrera C. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Fernandez V. ⚽, Vilches Araneda A. (A),
78', 2 - 1, Fernandez C. D. N. ⚽, Pino S. (A),
88', Gomez J. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
90+8', Toro C. 🟨,
90+8', Gonzalez C. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 1.

Cobresal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportes Iquique has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Deportes Iquique may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Deportes Iquique has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cobresal is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
24.05.25	Everton de Viña - Cobresal	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Cobresal - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.05.25	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.05.25	Unión Española - Cobresal	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Cobresal - Deportes Limache	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLTWW
- Deportes Iquique
Copa Sudamericana
29.05.25	Caracas - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
25.05.25	Deportes Iquique - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
19.05.25	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Cienciano - Deportes Iquique	4:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.05.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Iquique	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
18.08.24	Cobresal - Deportes Iquique	2:1
15.03.24	Deportes Iquique - Cobresal	1:0
23.11.20	Deportes Iquique - Cobresal	0:0
29.02.20	Cobresal - Deportes Iquique	1:1
10.08.19	Cobresal - Deportes Iquique	0:1
Chilean Cup
20.07.19	Cobresal - Deportes Iquique	3:1
14.07.19	Deportes Iquique - Cobresal	1:1

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