Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Tierra de Campeones (Iquique)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	ESPN 5
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Deportes Iquique		Caracas

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6.5	Watch
	1.66	3.8	4.75
	1.53	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.56	4.18	5.93	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.6	Watch
	1.54	4.01	6.52	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.78)	4.01 ↑ (3.66)	5.61 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 6

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Iquique
59.8%

Draw
23.5%

Caracas
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Iquique's performance.

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caracas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Iquique that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caracas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Deportes Iquique - Caracas Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Caracas will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Requena L. (G) 7. Gomez J. 26. Saborit E. 18. Salinas Flores H. (C) 30. Blazquez M. 20. Orellana D. 16. Soto B. 17. Gonzalez C. 14. Davila Carvajal M. 10. Puch E. 11. Ramos A.	12. Benitez F. (G) 72. Rito E. 2. La Mantia F. 13. Yendis J. 19. Mago L. 22. Figueroa A. 21. Rodriguez V. (C) 6. Aguilar D. 14. Echenique E. 9. De Santis J. 10. Covea M.
Substitutes
24. Barrera B. 21. Fernandez C. D. N. 3. Ferreyra T. 5. Fuentes C. 23. Hoyos E. 9. Javier Parraguez 13. Jorquera M. 29. Moya M. 1. Reyes M. (G) 15. Rodriguez C. 4. Rojas D.	27. Edet B. 15. Heraldez L. 31. Hernandez J. 24. Jimenez N. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 17. Reinoso L. 4. Rodriguez B. 7. Tegues D. 23. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.
Coaches
Ramirez M.	Aristeguieta F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', La Mantia F. 🟨,
4', 1 - 0, Puch E. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Echenique E. ⚽, Covea M. (A),
36', Puch E. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Aguilar D. ⚽,
42', Gonzalez C. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', De Santis J. ↓, Tegues D. ↑,
60', Orellana D. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
60', Davila Carvajal M. ↓, Hoyos E. ↑,
68', Figueroa A. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
76', Rodriguez V. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
76', Aguilar D. ↓, Heraldez L. ↑,
76', Heraldez L. 🟨,
80', Ramos A. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
88', Echenique E. 🟨,
88', Echenique E. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
90+3', Javier Parraguez 🟨,
90+5', Tegues D. 🟨,

Preview

Deportes Iquique is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Caracas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caracas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportes Iquique is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division
28.03.25	Ñublense - Deportes Iquique	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
23.03.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Iquique	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Unión Española	0:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.03.25	Alianza Lima - Deportes Iquique	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Palestino	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLTL
- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.03.25	Yaracuyanos - Caracas	3:3 ✺
14.03.25	Caracas - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.25	Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas	0:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.03.25	Caracas - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWWT

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