Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 6

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)

Referee: Araos M. (Chi)


	Ñublense		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.07	3.35	3.65	Watch
	2.03	3.43	3.56	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	1.9	3.45	4.12	Watch
	2.07	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.12)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	3.53 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
45.8%

Draw
27.6%

Deportes Iquique
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Ñublense - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Users Predictions: Ñublense will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 18. Cerezo B. 4. Bosso Torres O. 6. Calderon P. 14. Campusano G. 21. Reyes L. (C) 5. Valencia E. 20. Mateos F. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 9. Sosa G. 11. Sanchez P.	22. Requena L. (G) 4. Rojas D. 6. Casanova L. 18. Salinas Flores H. (C) 30. Blazquez M. 16. Soto B. 20. Orellana D. 23. Hoyos E. 8. Pino S. 10. Puch E. 17. Gonzalez C.
Substitutes
8. Graciani G. 2. Labrin C. 28. Molina L. 10. Rozas I. 12. Rubio P. 16. Sanhueza D. 30. Tapia D. (G)	14. Davila Carvajal M. 21. Fernandez C. D. N. 7. Gomez J. 29. Moya M. 11. Ramos A. 1. Reyes M. (G) 26. Saborit E.
Coaches
Gaete A.	Ramirez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Rojas D. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Mateos F. ⚽,
34', Puch E. (Pen),
38', Pino S. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hoyos E. ↓, Davila Carvajal M. ↑,
46', Rojas D. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
49', Casanova L. ↓, Saborit E. ↑,
65', Salinas Flores H. 🟨,
69', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Graciani G. ↑,
69', Sosa G. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
70', Sanchez P. 🟨,
73', Gonzalez C. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Davila Carvajal M. ⚽, Salinas Flores H. (A),
78', Calderon P. ↓, Labrin C. ↑,
78', Valencia E. ↓, Rozas I. ↑,
82', Sanchez P. ↓, Molina L. ↑,
90', Bosso Torres O. 🟨,
90+4', Campusano G. 🟨,
90+4', Soto B. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 3.

Recent matches Ñublense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportes Iquique is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ñublense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ñublense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 2.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Cup
22.03.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Ñublense	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.25	Palestino - Ñublense	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Everton de Viña - Ñublense	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.02.25	Ñublense - Boston River	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWT
- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Cup
23.03.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Iquique	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Unión Española	0:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.03.25	Alianza Lima - Deportes Iquique	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Palestino	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
05.10.24	Ñublense - Deportes Iquique	2:0
12.05.24	Deportes Iquique - Ñublense	2:1
03.04.15	Ñublense - Deportes Iquique	2:0
02.11.14	Deportes Iquique - Ñublense	1:1
30.03.14	Ñublense - Deportes Iquique	3:0
03.11.13	Deportes Iquique - Ñublense	4:1
20.04.13	Deportes Iquique - Ñublense	0:1

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