The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 36%
Draw 28.3%
San Luis de Quillota 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
28.3%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
29%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
Deportes Santa Cruz - San Luis de Quillota Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Deportes Santa Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 20%). San Luis will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Luis: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Luis (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - San Luis (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Luis (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 2. Quiroz I. 12. Alvarado F. 19. Flores E. 20. Cavero H. 22. Tati D. 4. Alucema G. 6. Orellana F. 14. Plaza D. 23. Barrios N. 30. Arias D.
12. Abarzua F. (G) 3. Meza I. 4. Duran V. 6. Munoz L. 13. Munoz Alister N. 18. Avello G. 5. Torres J. 7. Vergara S. 21. Pastenes F. 10. Parada S. (C) 11. Carreno M.
Substitutes
8. Acevedo D. 35. Brito P. 27. Castillo C. 3. Guerrero N. 1. Henriquez M. (G) 26. Moreno C. 9. Zeineddin N.
34. Catalan D. 19. Gonzalez D. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 9. Madrigal G. 1. Peranic N. (G) 27. Plaza G. 32. Villegas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Quiroz I. 🟨,
36', Alucema G. ↓, Castillo C. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Carreno M. ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 2, Parada S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Carreno M. ↓, Catalan D. ↑,
52', Munoz L. 🟨,
55', Flores E. 🟨,
57', Alvarado F. ↓, Brito P. ↑,
57', Orellana F. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
57', Quiroz I. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
63', Vergara S. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
77', Torres J. ↓, Plaza G. ↑,
77', Arias D. ↓, Acevedo D. ↑,
86', Munoz Alister N. ↓, Guerra Rojas M. ↑,
89', Duran V. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 1.
Deportes Santa Cruz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Luis is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Deportes Santa Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Deportes Santa Cruz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
San Luis
26
13
8
5
41:29
12
47
14
CD Santa Cruz
26
4
10
12
27:40
-13
22
Last Results with these Odds
San Luis de Quillota - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 35.98%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Dobboletta J. (C) 
Quiroz I. 
Gonzalez D. 
Madrigal G. 
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