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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 45.4%
Draw 28.5%
Deportes Iquique 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.1%
25.9%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
26.9%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos de Arica's form might have worsened.
Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos de Arica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Iquique Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Tapia B. (G) 15. Cubillos G. 34. Barboza A. 5. Rivera J. 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 8. Barrios A. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 33. Benavides E. 10. Sagredo B. 19. Maidana A. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C.
12. Castillo D. (G) 15. Ayala J. 26. Ledesma F. 5. Concha V. 14. Rojas D. 18. Garrido B. 33. Tello D. 21. Espinoza F. 7. Jones T. 11. Ramos A. (C) 17. Gonzalez C.
Substitutes
20. Abalos A. 23. Cazula A. 22. Donadell N. 4. Iturra M. 7. Monroy B. 16. Reyes G. 1. Saracho R. (G)
16. Contreras S. 27. Henriquez A. 6. Lopez M. 25. Lopez Z. (G) 28. Troncoso L. 34. Valenzuela R. 8. Venezia A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Ramos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Garrido B. ⚽,
62', Benavides E. ↓, Monroy B. ↑,
62', Maidana A. ↓, Donadell N. ↑,
62', Gonzalez C. ↓, Venezia A. ↑,
67', Jones T. ↓, Contreras S. ↑,
73', Sagredo B. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
78', Tello D. ↓, Valenzuela R. ↑,
78', Ramos A. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
85', Cubillos G. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Barboza A. ⚽,
90+6', Barboza A. 🟥,
90+12', Venezia A. 🟥,
90+14', Rojas D. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 1.
Recent form of San Marcos de Arica has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportes Iquique has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
San Marcos de Arica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
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Tapia B. (G) 
Barboza A. 
Maidana A. 
Tello D. 
Lopez M. 
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