Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 9

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Tierra de Campeones (Iquique)


	Deportes Iquique		Santiago Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.25
	2.1	3.3	3.15
	2.05	3.4	3.48
	2.07	3.49	3.33	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	1.99	3.4	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.09)	3.37 ↓ (3.53)	3.27 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Iquique
45%

Draw
27.1%

Santiago Wanderers
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

26.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Castillo D. (G) 14. Rojas D. 15. Ayala J. 21. Espinoza F. 26. Ledesma F. 18. Garrido B. 20. Orellana D. 23. Pereyra J. 27. Henriquez A. 11. Ramos A. 7. Gonzalez I.	12. Olivares R. (G) 16. Navarro P. 7. Herrera A. 18. Felipe S. 31. Valenzuela C. 8. Silva J. 5. Navarro L. 15. Villarroel M. 10. Luna J. 9. Camarda M. 37. San Martin D.
Substitutes
19. Arias D. 5. Concha V. 31. Diaz I. 25. Lopez Z. (G) 33. Tello D. 28. Troncoso L. 8. Venezia A.	23. Flores I. 3. Margas L. 36. Martinez B. (G) 14. Ponce C. 38. Portilla D. 32. Vargas V. 19. Villarroel C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Herrera A. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Gonzalez I. ⚽,
26', Espinoza F. 🟨,
30', Villarroel M. 🟨,
34', Herrera A. 🟨,
35', Diaz I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', San Martin D. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
54', Villarroel M. ↓, Flores I. ↑,
55', Navarro P. 🟨,
64', Garrido B. ↓, Venezia A. ↑,
75', Orellana D. 🟨,
75', Luna J. ↓, Ponce C. ↑,
75', Silva J. ↓, Portilla D. ↑,
79', Rojas D. 🟨,
81', Gonzalez I. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
82', Henriquez A. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Arias D. ⚽,
90+1', Arias D. 🟨,
90+2', Valenzuela C. ↓, Villarroel C. ↑,
90+6', Orellana D. ↓, Concha V. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 3.

Deportes Iquique is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santiago Wanderers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportes Iquique will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Iquique won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 2.2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Wanderers	26	12	8	6	41:28	13	44
12	Deportes Iquique	26	7	10	9	35:30	5	31

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Iquique - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.36%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.04.26	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Iquique	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Iquique	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.04.26	Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Wanderers	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Santiago Wanderers - San Luis de Quillota	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Wanderers	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Antofagasta	2:2 ✺
16.03.26	San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
10.12.23	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	4:3 penalties
04.12.23	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Iquique	1:1
15.10.23	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	3:2
04.06.23	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Iquique	1:1
01.07.22	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	2:1
05.06.22	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Iquique	2:0
Chilean Primera Division
14.02.21	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	2:0

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