The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 42.3%
Draw 28.1%
Santiago Wanderers 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
26.6%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
27.7%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Munoz J. (G) 4. Vasquez M. (C) 3. Walters A. 22. Meneses C. 30. Salinas Flores H. 6. James J. 5. Liuzzi B. 32. Coronel S. 35. Cabezas V. 11. Fredes M. 19. Farfan R.
12. Olivares R. (G) 7. Herrera A. 3. Margas L. 18. Felipe S. 16. Navarro P. 15. Villarroel M. 5. Navarro L. 14. Ponce C. 20. Avendano L. 37. San Martin D. 9. Camarda M.
Substitutes
23. Alegre M. 28. Guzman G. 10. Jorquera C. 20. Neira E. 17. Olguin M. (G) 7. Toledo A. 24. Yanez F.
23. Flores I. 10. Luna J. 36. Martinez B. (G) 29. Silva Ch. 8. Silva J. 31. Valenzuela C. 32. Vargas V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Camarda M. ⚽,
34', Navarro L. 🟨,
34', Coronel S. 🟨,
36', Meneses C. 🟥,
38', Camarda M. 🟨,
45', Walters A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Margas L. ↓, Valenzuela C. ↑,
46', San Martin D. ↓, Flores I. ↑,
46', Ponce C. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Camarda M. ⚽,
58', Cabezas V. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
64', Villarroel M. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
64', Coronel S. ↓, Neira E. ↑,
64', Liuzzi B. ↓, Guzman G. ↑,
69', Avendano L. 🟨,
75', Salinas Flores H. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
75', Farfan R. ↓, Alegre M. ↑,
80', Avendano L. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
81', Flores I. 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Vasquez M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Alegre M. ⚽,
85', Olivares R. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Silva J. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 3.
Magallanes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Santiago Wanderers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Magallanes might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Watch
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Munoz J. (G) 
James J. 
Felipe S. 
Silva Ch. 
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