Match Info

Copa Chile - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero (Talcahuano)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)


	Huachipato		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.36	3.32	2.9
				Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.2
	2.38	3.28	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.18)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	2.91 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huachipato
39.7%

Draw
28.5%

Ñublense
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Huachipato - Ñublense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huachipato: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Huachipato (1.62) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Ñublense (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Huachipato (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ñublense (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Odriozola R. (G) 15. Castillo A. 4. Gazzolo B. 5. Caroca R. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 20. Martinez J. A. 10. Ortega O. 28. Gutierrez M. 9. Altamirano L. 23. Martinez C.	1. Perez N. (G) 6. Calderon P. 2. Labrin C. 18. Cerezo B. 27. Gonzalez R. 21. Reyes L. 20. Mateos F. 22. Plaza M. 11. Sanchez P. 29. Avalos G. 8. Graciani G.
Substitutes
16. Arriagada L. 21. Brea 7. Briceno M. 22. Carcamo J. 26. Diaz L. 30. Garrido B. 18. Gutierrez Jara J. I. 34. Mella S. (G) 44. Vargas N.	14. Campusano J. 28. Molina L. 12. Rubio P. 13. Saavedra D. 16. Sanhueza D. 9. Sosa G. 30. Tapia D. (G) 15. Valencia Cisternas S. A. 5. Valencia E.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Fuentes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Altamirano L. ⚽, Ortega O. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Gutierrez M. ⚽, Martinez J. A. (A),
45', Avalos G. 🟨,
45+2', Labrin C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sepulveda C. ↓, Garrido B. ↑,
46', Ortega O. ↓, Vargas N. ↑,
46', Gonzalez R. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
46', Sanchez P. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
49', Vargas N. 🟨,
62', Avalos G. ↓, Molina L. ↑,
69', Garrido B. 🟨,
70', Altamirano L. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
70', Gutierrez M. ↓, Arriagada L. ↑,
74', Graciani G. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
76', Cerezo B. 🟨,
81', Martinez J. A. ↓, Carcamo J. ↑,
82', Garrido B. 🟨,
82', Mateos F. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 1, Sosa G. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ñublense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Huachipato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Chilean Cup
13.07.25	Ñublense - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
10.07.25	Huachipato - Deportes Concepción	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Deportes Concepción - Huachipato	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.06.25	Huachipato - Palestino	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Universidad Católica - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTTL
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Cup
13.07.25	Ñublense - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
01.07.25	Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
22.06.25	Cobresal - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Ñublense - Audax Italiano	2:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
07.06.25	Deportes Magallanes - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
13.07.25	Ñublense - Huachipato	2:2
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.25	Huachipato - Ñublense	0:1
10.11.24	Huachipato - Ñublense	1:0
20.06.24	Ñublense - Huachipato	3:0
03.12.23	Ñublense - Huachipato	0:1
14.05.23	Huachipato - Ñublense	2:0
22.10.22	Ñublense - Huachipato	2:0

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