Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Municipal de San Bernardo (San Bernardo)

Referee: Vergara M. (Chi)


	Deportes Magallanes		Everton de Viña

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.7
	2.5	3.25	2.85	Watch
	2.67	3.13	2.96
	2.45	3.2	2.62
	2.58	3.28	2.71	Watch
	2.5	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.85)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.77 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
36.9%

Draw
29.3%

Everton de Viña
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Everton de Viña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Deportes Magallanes - Everton de Viña Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Magallanes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Tapia D. (G) 4. Poblete M. 8. Vicuna M. 6. Berardo N. 11. Zapata Y. 10. Aranguiz T. 7. Alfaro J. 14. Espinoza F. 23. Jorquera C. 17. Flores F. 27. Canales A.	1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 32. Pereira S. 5. Barroso J. (C) 24. Oyarzun D. 23. Espejo J. 6. Madrid A. 16. Cruz J. 21. Berrios B. 18. Sequeira L. 9. Campos M. 11. Saez S.
Substitutes
3. Acevedo A. 36. Contreras S. 22. Jones T. 2. Pinero F. 1. Rodriguez G. (G) 19. Vasquez Quilodran I. 21. Villanueva C.	13. Carcamo M. 26. Diaz R. 17. Gonzalez C. (G) 14. Medina C. 2. Riquelme C. 19. Sanchez P. 30. Studer S.
Coaches
Salas M.	Meneghini F.

Preview

Recent matches Magallanes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Everton de Viña is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Magallanes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Magallanes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Magallanes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Cup
27.09.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Magallanes	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.09.23	Universidad Católica - Deportes Magallanes	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Deportes Magallanes - Palestino	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
19.08.23	Deportes Magallanes - OHiggins	3:1 penalties ✺
15.08.23	OHiggins - Deportes Magallanes	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWL
- Everton de Viña
Chilean Primera Division
23.09.23	Everton de Viña - Huachipato	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Ñublense - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Everton de Viña - Cobresal	2:2 ✺
13.08.23	Audax Italiano - Everton de Viña	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
09.08.23	Universidad Católica - Everton de Viña	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
14.04.23	Everton de Viña - Deportes Magallanes	2:0
Chilean Cup
25.06.22	Everton de Viña - Deportes Magallanes	1:2
18.06.22	Deportes Magallanes - Everton de Viña	1:1

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