Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 5

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bueras (Santiago de Chile)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Deportes Magallanes		Palestino

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.73
	3.60	3.50	1.78
	4.05	3.75	1.72
	3.87	4.16	1.76
	3.77	4.15	1.78	Watch
	3.65	4.1	1.74
	4.44	3.58	1.77
	4	3.75	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.47)	3.81 ↑ (3.61)	1.75 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
23.2%

Draw
24.1%

Palestino
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

25.3%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

24.7%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Deportes Magallanes - Palestino Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munoz J. (G) 19. Farfan R. 3. Walters A. 29. Sepulveda M. 6. James J. 7. Toledo A. 10. Jorquera C. (C) 21. Quiroz J. 30. Salinas Flores H. 9. Peraza F. 35. Cabezas V.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 3. Roco E. 13. Gomez A. 16. Bizama J. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 18. Gallegos S. 8. Meza N. 20. Tapia Paez G. 28. Zuniga D. 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 27. Munder C.
Substitutes
23. Alegre M. 18. Berrios E. 32. Coronel S. 11. Fredes M. 5. Liuzzi B. 20. Neira E. 16. Osorio M. 4. Vasquez M.	12. Canto R. (G) 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 34. Cienfuegos M. 19. Da Silva N. 33. Diaz L. 5. Fernandez J. 9. Fernandez R. 17. Ruz G. 24. Salgado D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Peraza F. ⚽, Jorquera C. (A),
23', Quiroz J. 🟨,
23', Munder C. 🟨,
24', Roco E. 🟥,
24', James J. 🟥,
31', Meza N. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽, Munder C. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Tapia Paez G. ⚽, Munder C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Toledo A. ↓, Vasquez M. ↑,
46', Cabezas V. ↓, Fredes M. ↑,
46', Meza N. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
50', Quiroz J. 🟨,
55', Peraza F. ↓, Alegre M. ↑,
55', Jorquera C. ↓, Osorio M. ↑,
67', Carrasco B. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
67', Munder C. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
67', Gomez A. ↓, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↑,
84', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
85', Salinas Flores H. ↓, Berrios E. ↑,

Preview

Magallanes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Palestino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Palestino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Magallanes has had a series of away games.

Palestino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Magallanes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Cup
27.06.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Palestino - Deportes Magallanes	4:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
07.06.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Magallanes	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Iquique	4:3 ✺
24.05.26	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTWL
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Cup
30.06.26	Audax Italiano - Palestino	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Palestino	0:0 ✺
23.06.26	Palestino - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Palestino - Deportes Magallanes	4:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Everton de Viña - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
20.06.26	Palestino - Deportes Magallanes	4:1
Chilean Primera Division
03.09.23	Deportes Magallanes - Palestino	2:0
01.04.23	Palestino - Deportes Magallanes	3:2

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