Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)


	Universidad Católica		Deportes Magallanes

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.21	3.62	3.29
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.08	3.52	3.36	Watch
	2.15	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.82)	3.44 ↓ (3.65)	3.23 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
43.8%

Draw
27.2%

Deportes Magallanes
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.7%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

27.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica's form might have worsened.

Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Magallanes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Universidad Católica - Deportes Magallanes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Peranic N. (G) 5. Gonzalez D. 6. Burdisso G. 15. Cuevas C. 24. Parot A. 55. Kagelmacher G. 8. Saavedra I. 16. Rovira B. 27. Ortiz J. 7. Di Santo F. 35. Montes C.	30. Tapia D. (G) 4. Poblete M. 5. Vilches C. 14. Espinoza F. 6. Berardo N. 10. Aranguiz T. 23. Jorquera C. 27. Canales A. 7. Alfaro J. 11. Zapata Y. 17. Flores F.
Substitutes
32. Arancibia C. 21. Corral D. 12. Gillier T. (G) 36. Letelier Garcia N. I. 23. Nieto B. 11. Rossel J. 20. Tapia G.	3. Acevedo A. 36. Contreras S. 41. Deschamps J. (G) 22. Jones T. 19. Vasquez Quilodran I. 8. Vicuna M. 21. Villanueva C.
Coaches
Nunez Rojas N.	Salas M.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estadio Santa Laura.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Universidad Católica is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Club Friendly
09.09.23	River Plate Montevideo - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.08.23	Unión Española - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Universidad Católica - Ñublense	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
20.08.23	Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
16.08.23	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLT
- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Primera Division
03.09.23	Deportes Magallanes - Palestino	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
19.08.23	Deportes Magallanes - OHiggins	3:1 penalties ✺
15.08.23	OHiggins - Deportes Magallanes	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
11.08.23	Cobresal - Deportes Magallanes	3:1 ✺
05.08.23	Deportes Magallanes - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
19.03.23	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad Católica	1:1
Chilean Cup
18.07.15	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad Católica	1:2
15.07.15	Universidad Católica - Deportes Magallanes	1:2

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