Match Info

CHILE: CHILEAN CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Municipal de San Bernardo (San Bernardo)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)


	Deportes Magallanes		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.4	3.15	2.75
	2.68	3.1	2.61
	2.62	3	2.6
	2.57	3.24	2.57	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.39)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.62 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
35.9%

Draw
29.2%

OHiggins
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28.7%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Deportes Magallanes - OHiggins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Tapia D. (G) 5. Vilches C. 14. Espinoza F. 2. Pinero F. 4. Vasquez Quilodran I. 27. Canales A. 23. Jorquera C. 10. Aranguiz T. 9. Larrivey J. 36. Contreras S. 11. Zapata Y.	16. Ureta L. (G) 4. Gonzalez D. 17. Gonzalez M. 30. Diaz A. 2. Castillo C. 6. Fuentes E. 8. Hernandez P. (C) 7. Hormazabal F. 11. Castro F. 14. Moreira E. 18. Castillo A.
Substitutes
3. Acevedo A. 7. Alfaro J. 28. Barria A. 41. Deschamps J. (G) 17. Flores F. 21. Villanueva C. 29. Walters A.	9. Blando B. 1. Carreno D. (G) 21. Fernandez C. D. N. 22. Maturana M. 13. Moya C. 26. Rabello B. 24. Thaller N.
Coaches
Salas M.	Azconzabal J. M.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Magallanes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Magallanes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Magallanes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Cup
15.08.23	OHiggins - Deportes Magallanes	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
11.08.23	Cobresal - Deportes Magallanes	3:1 ✺
05.08.23	Deportes Magallanes - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
02.08.23	Unión Española - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.07.23	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWWW
- OHiggins
Chilean Cup
15.08.23	OHiggins - Deportes Magallanes	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
12.08.23	OHiggins - Deportes Copiapó	1:1 ✺
07.08.23	Universidad de Chile - OHiggins	2:5 ✺
28.07.23	OHiggins - Ñublense	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Huachipato - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
15.08.23	OHiggins - Deportes Magallanes	3:2
Chilean Primera Division
09.07.23	OHiggins - Deportes Magallanes	1:2
20.01.23	Deportes Magallanes - OHiggins	0:1

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