The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 38.5%
Draw 26.6%
Unión Española 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
26.4%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
24.6%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Magallanes's form might have worsened.
Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Española's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Española, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportes Magallanes - Unión Española Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Munoz J. (G) 6. James J. 16. Osorio M. 24. Yanez F. 22. Meneses C. 30. Salinas Flores H. 20. Neira E. 21. Quiroz J. (C) 7. Toledo A. 19. Farfan R. 9. Peraza F.
13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 21. Pereira S. 3. Alarcon R. 17. Massri F. 28. Valencia N. 23. Ojeda U. 14. Nunez I. 24. Norambuena G. 9. Vilches Araneda A. 10. Aranguiz P. (C)
Substitutes
23. Alegre M. 32. Coronel S. 11. Fredes M. 10. Jorquera C. 5. Liuzzi B. 38. Sanchez B. (G) 4. Vasquez M.
15. Droguett B. 5. Machado W. 32. Molina L. 16. Ormeno M. 11. Ratotti F. 8. Rubio P. 12. Uribe E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Ojeda U. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Yanez F. ⚽,
40', Farfan R. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Salinas Flores H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Contreras K. ↓, Ormeno M. ↑,
51', 3 - 1, Yanez F. ⚽,
55', Vilches Araneda A. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
58', Alarcon R. 🟨,
65', Neira E. ↓, Liuzzi B. ↑,
65', Yanez F. ↓, Fredes M. ↑,
70', Valencia N. ↓, Machado W. ↑,
80', Massri F. ↓, Droguett B. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Salinas Flores H. ⚽,
83', Fredes M. 🟨,
84', Osorio M. ↓, Jorquera C. ↑,
88', Quiroz J. ↓, Vasquez M. ↑,
89', Peraza F. ↓, Alegre M. ↑,
90+2', Alegre M. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 5.
Magallanes has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Unión Española has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Unión Española has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Chile
Usa
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Munoz J. (G) 
James J. 
Peraza F. 
Massri F. 
Valencia N. 
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