Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 13

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)


	Universidad de Chile		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.30	3.50	Watch
	2.05	3.30	3.50
	1.91	3.35	3.90	Watch
	2.11	3.39	3.86
	1.88	3.47	4.09	Watch
	2.00	3.00	3.50
	2.06	3.41	3.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.82)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	3.74 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Chile
46.7%

Draw
28.2%

OHiggins
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.3%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Universidad de Chile - OHiggins Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 5. Ramirez N. 31. Tamayo B. 17. Hormazabal F. 29. Barrera L. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 16. Rojas E. 14. Morales M. 11. Eduardo Vargas (C) 28. Arce A.	31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 22. Robledo A. (C) 33. Brizuela M. 6. Pavez L. 8. Felipe Ogaz 28. Schamine B. 24. Gonzalez F. 7. Martin Sarrafiore 29. Yanez B. 9. Castillo A.
Substitutes
19. Altamirano J. 21. Diaz M. 6. Fernandez N. 18. Lucero J. 34. Ramirez V. 24. Romero L. 1. Toselli C. (G) 4. Vargas D. 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.	20. Diaz L. 21. Garrido N. 26. Godoy R. 14. Maturana M. 2. Morales C. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 5. Pinto G. 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T.
Coaches
Gago F.	Bovaglio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Tamayo B. ⚽, Morales M. (A),
41', Faundez F. 🟨,
43', Brizuela M. 🟨,
45+6', Barrera L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
59', Arce A. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
69', Hormazabal F. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
73', Bovaglio L. 🟨,
74', Schamine B. ↓, Maturana M. ↑,
74', Yanez B. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
78', Rojas E. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
78', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
79', Robledo A. ↓, Garrido N. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ⚽, Poblete Zuniga I. E. (A),
90+1', Pavez L. 🟨,
90+4', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
90+7', Brizuela M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Universidad de Chile is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:16. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. De Chile	23	12	6	5	35:19	16	42
13	O'Higgins	24	8	3	13	28:38	-10	27

Last Results with these Odds

Universidad de Chile - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.93%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
14.06.26	Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile	2:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	Universidad de Chile - Audax Italiano	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.05.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Cobresal - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
10.05.26	Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTWLL
- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Coquimbo Unido - OHiggins	0:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	OHiggins - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.26	OHiggins - Everton de Viña	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	Millonarios - OHiggins	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Boston River - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
23.11.25	OHiggins - Universidad de Chile	0:1
31.05.25	Universidad de Chile - OHiggins	6:0
17.08.24	OHiggins - Universidad de Chile	0:4
16.03.24	Universidad de Chile - OHiggins	1:0
07.08.23	Universidad de Chile - OHiggins	2:5
Chilean Cup
21.06.23	Universidad de Chile - OHiggins	0:1 penalties
Chilean Primera Division
19.02.23	OHiggins - Universidad de Chile	0:1

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