The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 42.8%
Draw 27.9%
Universidad de Chile 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.6%
23.5%
58%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.8%
22.5%
60.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Magallanes's performance.
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Chile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-25%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Magallanes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+31.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Chile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
18.7%
6.2%
Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Chile Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Magallanes will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Magallanes: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Magallanes (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Magallanes (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Magallanes (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bernatene M. (G) 6. Alucema G. 10. Aranguiz T. (C) 23. Mancilla N. 26. Munoz C. 17. Ortega F. 16. Osorio M. 18. Toledo A. 14. Valdez B. 11. Valenzuela C. 4. Vasquez M.
1. Toselli C. (C) 14. Alfaro J. 28. Arce A. 10. Assadi L. 4. Castro J. 27. Contreras R. 24. Diaz A. 6. Fernandez N. 26. Formiliano F. 30. Montes G. 3. Tapia I.
Substitutes
28. Barria A. 32. Espinola M. 2. Figueroa D. 31. Gonzalez M. 7. Lezcano G. 1. Martinic A. (G) 22. Morales Olivares M. G. 20. Neira E. 3. Walters A.
38. Espinoza M. 12. Garrido P. (G) 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 34. Moya F. 43. Rojas E. 31. Tamayo B. 39. Vargas D. 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. 40. Vera R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Alfaro J. ⚽, Contreras R. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Osorio M. ⚽, Munoz C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Diaz A. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
55', Tapia I. ↓, Tamayo B. ↑,
55', Alfaro J. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
55', Assadi L. ↓, Moya F. ↑,
67', Toledo A. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Moya F. ⚽,
71', Valdez B. ↓, Figueroa D. ↑,
80', Alucema G. ↓, Morales Olivares M. G. ↑,
80', Valenzuela C. ↓, Espinola M. ↑,
80', Munoz C. ↓, Barria A. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Castro J. ⚽,
90', Arce A. ↓, Vera R. ↑,
Preview
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Universidad de Chile could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Magallanes will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Magallanes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Magallanes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
Watch
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