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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 38.8%
Draw 26.5%
San Luis de Quillota 34.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40%
26.5%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
27.3%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Deportes Magallanes - San Luis de Quillota Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Zozaya J. P. (G) 4. Vasquez M. 6. James J. 16. Osorio M. 24. Yanez F. 10. Jorquera C. (C) 28. Guzman G. 29. Sepulveda M. 19. Farfan R. 23. Alegre M. 11. Fredes M.
12. Abarzua F. (G) 3. Meza I. 4. Duran V. 6. Munoz L. 13. Munoz Alister N. 18. Avello G. 21. Pastenes F. 34. Catalan D. 17. Juarez F. 11. Carreno M. 10. Parada S. (C)
Substitutes
35. Cabezas V. 8. Fernandez C. D. N. 5. Liuzzi B. 22. Meneses C. 1. Munoz J. (G) 9. Peraza F. 7. Toledo A.
22. Bustos G. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 9. Madrigal G. 1. Peranic N. (G) 31. Pinilla Y. 7. Vergara S. 32. Villegas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Duran V. 🟨,
21', Osorio M. 🟨,
23', Osorio M. 🟥,
29', Parada S. 🟨,
30', Carreno M. ↓, Vergara S. ↑,
45', Munoz L. ↓, Guerra Rojas M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alegre M. ↓, Peraza F. ↑,
46', Jorquera C. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
46', Guzman G. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
46', Duran V. ↓, Madrigal G. ↑,
47', Juarez F. 🟨,
69', Farfan R. ↓, Cabezas V. ↑,
71', Yanez F. 🟨,
74', Juarez F. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
74', Parada S. ↓, Pinilla Y. ↑,
84', Yanez F. ↓, Liuzzi B. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Bustos G. ⚽,
90+7', Fredes M. 🟥,
90+7', Bustos G. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Liga de Primera).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 4.
Magallanes is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
San Luis is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Magallanes has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 20:7 (averaging 2.2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Magallanes against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 14:4 goals (averaging 3.5:1 per game).
Chile
Watch
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Zozaya J. P. (G) 
Vasquez M. 
Peraza F. 
Madrigal G. 
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