Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Deportes Recoleta		Deportes Magallanes

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.20	2.43
	2.60	3.30	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.55)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	2.49 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Recoleta
35.4%

Draw
28%

Deportes Magallanes
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

28.2%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1.

Recoleta has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Magallanes has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Recoleta has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:15 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Recoleta against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magallanes	26	12	7	7	42:38	4	43
6	Recoleta	26	11	8	7	38:34	4	41

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Recoleta - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.13%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Deportes Magallanes - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.87%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.10.26	Deportes Recoleta - Santiago Wanderers	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Deportes Recoleta - San Marcos de Arica	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Recoleta	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTWWT
- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.10.26	Deportes Magallanes - Curicó Unido	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Magallanes	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Deportes Magallanes - Unión San Felipe	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta	3:2
13.07.25	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Magallanes	2:0
Chilean Cup
23.03.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta	2:0
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.02.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta	3:0
Chilean Cup
09.02.25	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Magallanes	0:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.10.24	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta	1:1
28.04.24	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Magallanes	0:1

Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Magallanes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide