Match Info

Date: 1 August 2021, Sunday


	Deportes Melipilla		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.6	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.66
	4.5	3.55	1.65	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.65
	5.21	4	1.68
	4.8	3.7	1.63	Watch
	4.95	3.9	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (3.82)	3.8 ↑ (3.54)	1.65 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
19.3%

Draw
24.4%

Colo-Colo
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.2%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

20.6%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colo-Colo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	18.7%	72.9%

Deportes Melipilla - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Melipilla will win (votes: 4 - 8.3%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 35 - 72.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colo-Colo: 60.3% – 85.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification)).

Melipilla is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Colo-Colo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colo-Colo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Colo-Colo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Primera Division
28.07.21	Cobresal - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
24.07.21	Deportes Melipilla - Unión La Calera	3:3 ✺
20.07.21	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Melipilla	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
27.06.21	Ñublense - Deportes Melipilla	0:0 ✺
23.06.21	Deportes Melipilla - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLTL
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
29.07.21	Santiago Wanderers - Colo-Colo	0:4 ✺
24.07.21	Colo-Colo - Audax Italiano	1:1 ✺
17.07.21	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.07.21	Colo-Colo - Palestino	1:1 ✺
08.07.21	Palestino - Colo-Colo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTTW

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