The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobresal 48.8%
Draw 27.7%
Deportes Melipilla 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.4%
26.9%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
17.7%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobresal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Melipilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
10%
10%
Cobresal - Deportes Melipilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
Cobresal will win
(32 of 40 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.6% – 92.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).
Cobresal is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Melipilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Melipilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Cobresal is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Cobresal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Cobresal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.
Watch
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