The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Melipilla 31%
Draw 29.7%
Unión La Calera 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
31.1%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
22.5%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Melipilla that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión La Calera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
32.1%
53.6%
Deportes Melipilla - Unión La Calera Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Melipilla will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Unión La Calera will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Unión La Calera: 35.1% – 72.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores).
Melipilla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Unión La Calera is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Unión La Calera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.