Match Info

Date: 25 August 2021, Wednesday


	Deportes Melipilla		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.4	2.62	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.65
	2.55	3.15	2.48	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.74	3.37	2.69
	2.55	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.66	3.35	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.36)	3.28 ↓ (3.39)	2.61 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
35.8%

Draw
28.5%

Curicó Unido
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.5%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

19.3%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Melipilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curicó Unido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Melipilla - Curicó Unido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Curicó Unido could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Primera Division
22.08.21	Deportes Melipilla - Huachipato	1:2 ✺
14.08.21	Everton de Viña - Deportes Melipilla	1:2 ✺
01.08.21	Deportes Melipilla - Colo-Colo	2:4 ✺
28.07.21	Cobresal - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
24.07.21	Deportes Melipilla - Unión La Calera	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLTT
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Primera Division
21.08.21	Curicó Unido - Audax Italiano	2:2 ✺
15.08.21	Palestino - Curicó Unido	0:2 ✺
08.08.21	Colo-Colo - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
02.08.21	Curicó Unido - Santiago Wanderers	2:1 ✺
28.07.21	OHiggins - Curicó Unido	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
27.03.21	Curicó Unido - Deportes Melipilla	2:0

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