Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Additional match - Final

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Roberto Bravo Santibáñez (Melipilla)


	Deportes Melipilla		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.74	3.37	2.29
	2.83	3.37	2.28	Watch
	3	3.25	2.1
	2.81	3.26	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.62)	3.27 ↓ (3.37)	2.24 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
32%

Draw
27.7%

Deportes Concepción
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.2%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),

Preview

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 2.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Melipilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
23.10.24	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Melipilla	3:5 ✺
12.10.24	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Osorno	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Rengo	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWT
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Segunda Division
20.10.24	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Concepción	0:5 ✺
12.10.24	Deportes Concepción - General Velásquez	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Concepción	1:5 ✺
15.09.24	Deportes Concepción - Trasandino de Los Andes	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
08.09.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Concepción	1:1
27.04.24	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Melipilla	1:3
15.10.23	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Concepción	2:1
04.06.23	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Melipilla	1:3

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