Match Info

CHILE: Chilean Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Roberto Bravo Santibáñez (Melipilla)


	Deportes Melipilla		Everton de Viña

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.73
	3.75	3.7	1.72
	4	3.75	1.75
	4.01	3.75	1.75
	4.01	3.65	1.76
	4	3.8	1.7
	3.99	3.78	1.72
	4	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (4.01)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	1.73 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
23%

Draw
24.4%

Everton de Viña
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

24.4%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

23.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Everton de Viña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-2%)

Deportes Melipilla - Everton de Viña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Ovalle J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 1 - 1, Martinez F. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Ovalle J. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Everton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Everton is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Melipilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Cup
15.06.24	Deportes Melipilla - Unión San Felipe	1:0 ✺
Chilean Segunda Division
25.05.24	Deportes Melipilla - Lautaro de Buin	5:0 ✺
18.05.24	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Melipilla	3:3 ✺
11.05.24	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Ovalle	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Deportes Rengo - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTTL
- Everton de Viña
Chilean Cup
19.06.24	San Luis de Quillota - Everton de Viña	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.06.24	Everton de Viña - Universidad de Chile	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Huachipato - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Everton de Viña - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Everton de Viña - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
27.11.21	Deportes Melipilla - Everton de Viña	1:0
14.08.21	Everton de Viña - Deportes Melipilla	1:2

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