Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 13

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Roberto Bravo Santibáñez (Melipilla)


	Deportes Melipilla		Lautaro de Buin

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6
	1.47	4.2	5.5
	1.44	4.51	5.8
	1.45	4.51	5.8
	1.44	4.15	6.2
	1.47	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	4.28 ↑ (4)	5.8 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
63%

Draw
21.3%

Lautaro de Buin
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

22.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

21.5%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lautaro de Buin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Melipilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro de Buin than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Deportes Melipilla - Lautaro de Buin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Harding G. ⚽,
41', 🟥,
45+3', 2 - 0, Vergara C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 🟥,
64', 3 - 0, Taiva B. ⚽,
69', 4 - 0, Becica A. ⚽,
74', 5 - 0, Taiva B. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Melipilla is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Melipilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
18.05.24	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Melipilla	3:3 ✺
11.05.24	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Ovalle	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Deportes Rengo - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Melipilla	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLWL
- Lautaro de Buin
Chilean Segunda Division
19.05.24	Lautaro de Buin - Concón National	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin	4:0 ✺
06.05.24	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	General Velásquez - Lautaro de Buin	6:2 ✺
21.04.24	Provincial Osorno - Lautaro de Buin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
08.09.23	Deportes Melipilla - Lautaro de Buin	1:0
11.05.23	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Melipilla	3:1
Chilean Cup
24.03.19	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Melipilla	0:3

Deportes Melipilla - Lautaro de Buin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide