The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Puerto Montt 38.5%
Draw 30.5%
San Marcos de Arica 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
29.5%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
30.3%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Deportes Puerto Montt - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Collao G. (G) 4. Riveros M. 5. Calisto F. 15. Egana K. 17. Nieto B. 35. Rojas L. A. 14. Cardenas J. 16. Flores J. 23. Castillo G. 9. Vazquez L. 11. Castro R.
13. Tapia B. (G) 8. Barrios A. 5. Rivera J. 14. Guerra C. 23. Cazula A. 10. Sagredo B. 18. Galleguillos A. 26. Rencoret C. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 16. Reyes G. 22. Donadell N.
Substitutes
20. Bahamonde D. 7. Clerveaux M. 6. Diaz D. 25. Leiva C. 8. Paredes R. 28. Perez S. 13. Ureta L. (G)
20. Abalos A. 4. Iturra M. 19. Maidana A. 17. Moya Godoy M. 24. Pereira D. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Sagredo B. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Donadell N. ⚽,
40', Vazquez L. 🟨,
42', Sagredo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Egana K. ↓, Clerveaux M. ↑,
46', Nieto B. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
60', Galleguillos A. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
63', Pereira D. 🟨,
66', Flores J. ↓, Paredes R. ↑,
66', Castro R. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
70', Guerra C. ↓, Maidana A. ↑,
70', Sagredo B. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
78', Rojas L. A. ↓, Leiva C. ↑,
86', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
86', Donadell N. ↓, Iturra M. ↑,
90', Perez S. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 1.
Recent performances by Puerto Montt have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Marcos de Arica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
San Marcos de Arica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Montt won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
San Marcos de Arica
26
10
9
7
33:24
9
39
10
D. Puerto Montt
26
10
4
12
26:34
-8
34
Last Results with these Odds
San Marcos de Arica - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.62%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Collao G. (G) 
Vazquez L. 
Castro R. 
Clerveaux M. 
Zedan N. 
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