The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Recoleta 46.1%
Draw 28.7%
Deportes Puerto Montt 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
30.3%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
32%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Puerto Montt will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Vargas J. (G) 28. Rodriguez C. 5. Alarcon F. 16. Viveros B. 14. Lara I. 10. Arguinarena M. 15. Baez F. 17. Carvajal N. 20. Gonzalez C. 33. Riveros R. 19. Sanchez P.
29. Collao G. (G) 34. Gonzalez K. 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. 15. Egana K. 23. Castillo G. 14. Cardenas J. 6. Diaz D. 16. Flores J. 8. Paredes R. 30. Negrete S.
Substitutes
21. Alvarez G. 6. Espinoza J. 9. Estigarribia G. 27. Flores F. 23. Salazar A. (G) 4. Tomarelli F. 11. Viveros D.
20. Bahamonde D. 22. Jaime J. 26. Mancilla N. 17. Nieto B. 18. Sabella A. 19. Taiva B. 13. Ureta L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Vargas J. 🟨,
13', Castillo G. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Paredes R. ⚽,
39', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arguinarena M. ↓, Estigarribia G. ↑,
65', Negrete S. ↓, Nieto B. ↑,
65', Flores J. ↓, Mancilla N. ↑,
65', Diaz D. ↓, Bahamonde D. ↑,
68', Collao G. ↓, Ureta L. ↑,
72', Rodriguez C. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
76', Estigarribia G. 🟨,
77', Castillo G. ↓, Jaime J. ↑,
79', Baez F. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
79', Riveros R. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
85', Alarcon F. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Recent form of Recoleta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Puerto Montt is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Recoleta has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
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Vargas J. (G) 
Morales A. 
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