The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Wanderers 50%
Draw 29%
Santiago Morning 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
25.8%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
21.9%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santiago Morning could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Santiago Wanderers - Santiago Morning Predictions
Users Predictions:
Santiago Wanderers will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santiago Wanderers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Miranda E. (G) 22. Salas J. 23. Gonzalez V. 18. Felipe S. 4. Espinoza V. 5. Navarro L. 8. Pereyra J. 29. Gatica J. 10. Luna J. 30. Espinoza E. 21. Duma J.
1. Arana A. (G) 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 22. Rigazzi L. 20. Ormeno E. 4. Iturra M. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. 15. Cortes F. 17. Castro P. 10. Campillay K. 7. Arancibia M. 11. Escobar G.
Substitutes
27. Cuadra M. 13. Cubillos F. 25. Lagos V. (G) 16. Parra R. 20. Silva J. 11. Valladares J. 33. Velasquez M.
30. Barrientos J. 12. Canete L. (G) 9. Cid W. 23. Delgado M. 25. Estay D. 8. Salazar S. 2. Santelices G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Estay D. 🟨,
29', Espinoza V. 🟨,
36', Cid W. 🟨,
38', Salazar S. 🟨,
45+2', Cortes F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Salazar S. ↓, Castro P. ↑,
46', Salas J. ↓, Valladares J. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Castro P. ⚽,
57', 0 - 2, Cortes F. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Valladares J. ⚽,
60', 1 - 3, Campillay K. ⚽,
63', Cuadra M. 🟨,
64', Vasquez K. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
66', Pereyra J. ↓, Cuadra M. ↑,
66', Espinoza V. ↓, Cubillos F. ↑,
71', Campillay K. ↓, Coronado M. ↑,
71', Cortes F. ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
78', Espinoza E. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
79', Guajardo Barrera B. 🟨,
82', Cid W. ↓, Iturra M. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Luna J. ⚽,
89', Canete L. 🟨,
90+1', Gonzalez V. 🟥,
90+4', Delgado M. 🟨,
90+5', Cuadra M. 🟥,
90+8', Gatica J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 2.
Recent form of Santiago Wanderers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Santiago Morning is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Santiago Morning has had a series of home games.
In this match, Santiago Wanderers is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).