Match Info

Date: 22 October 2021, Friday


	Deportes Quindío		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.43	2.85	3.05
	2.43	2.95	2.95
	2.53	3.05	3.23
	2.4	3	3
	2.47	3	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.17)	2.96 ↓ (3.3)	3.04 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Quindío
38.3%

Draw
31.2%

Alianza Valledupar
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.7%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

19.5%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Quindío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Quindío's form might have worsened.

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Quindío that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Valledupar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Quindío - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Play Offs)).

Deportes Quindío is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alianza Petrolera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportes Quindío will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportes Quindío won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Quindío won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Quindío
Colombian Primera A
17.10.21	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Quindío	1:0 ✺
12.10.21	Deportes Quindío - Deportivo Pereira	2:3 ✺
02.10.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Quindío	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Deportes Quindío - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Envigado - Deportes Quindío	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWT
- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
17.10.21	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
08.10.21	Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
24.09.21	Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar	1:1 ✺
20.09.21	Alianza Valledupar - Patriotas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
13.01.21	Deportes Quindío - Alianza Valledupar	2:0
Colombian Primera A
28.08.13	Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Quindío	1:1
17.03.13	Deportes Quindío - Alianza Valledupar	2:3

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