The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Valledupar 48.6%
Draw 28.6%
Patriotas 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
29.6%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
29.3%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Alianza Valledupar - Patriotas Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera C. (G) 2. Navarro E. 3. Figueroa J. 5. Franco P. (C) 16. Saldana L. 21. Manjarres R. 25. Colpa Bolano R. R. 28. Aponza Cantonil S. A. 91. Perez J. 10. Batalla E. 14. Camargo I.
32. Valencia J. (G) 21. Guerrero J. 20. Ruiz D. 28. Garcia J. 25. De Las Salas C. 6. Diaz J. 4. Alarcon A. 23. Bello Vivas S. E. 30. Paternina C. 24. Victoria Palacios D. S. 19. Martinez C. (C)
Substitutes
99. Gil M. 30. Graziani P. (G) 27. Jimenez J. 23. Mendoza Benitez D. A. 22. Ospina Londono L. A. 11. Renteria A. 29. Torres E.
17. Charris C. 14. De La Cruz Mangas J. 11. Gomez M. 27. Melendez A. 7. Moreno S. 9. Rodriguez J. 1. Roman S. (G)
Coaches
Bodhert H.
Perez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Franco P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bello Vivas S. E. ↓, Melendez A. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Ruiz D. ⚽,
50', Ruiz D. 🟨,
54', Camargo I. ↓, Renteria A. ↑,
55', Batalla E. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
58', Aponza Cantonil S. A. 🟨,
63', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↑,
69', Paternina C. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
70', Perez J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
70', Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
80', 🟨,
81', Renteria A. 🟨,
82', Martinez C. ↓, De La Cruz Mangas J. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Gil M. ⚽,
90+1', Perea J. 🟨,
90+4', Ruiz D. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
90+5', Victoria Palacios D. S. ↓, Charris C. ↑,
90+7', Jimenez J. 🟨,
90+7', Diaz J. 🟨,
Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza won 2.
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Alianza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Alianza have a series of guest games.
Alianza will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Alianza won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:19 (average 1.1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Alianza won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.5:0.6).
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Mosquera C. (G) 
Gil M. 
De La Cruz Mangas J. 
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