The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rionegro Águilas 46.1%
Draw 30.3%
Alianza Valledupar 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.7%
27.8%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
27.1%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rionegro Águilas's form might have worsened.
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rionegro Águilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
27.3%
18.2%
Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rionegro Águilas: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Salazar A. (G) 26. Lozano D. 5. Hernandez D. 2. Garcia J. 29. Lopes H. 32. Mena J. 25. Roa J. 8. Ricaurte A. 19. Lozano F. (C) 9. Rivaldo J. 99. Obregon J.
1. Wallens J. (G) 16. Rosales Y. 22. Figueroa J. 5. Franco P. (C) 23. Viveros J. 7. Castillo J. 33. Lasso J. 17. Pardo F. 21. Cantillo F. 25. Perez Balcazar J. E. 29. Lucumi C.
Substitutes
24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 90. Benitez Hernandez R. A. 20. Higgins A. 34. Hurtado J. (G) 30. Lara Vasquez N. 27. Londono C. 16. Pineda J. 15. Suarez Chalare F. A. 10. Uruena B.
24. Banguero E. 10. Fernandez W. 26. Martinez M. 6. Meza Mercado E. W. 3. Moreno K. 8. Munoz J. 13. Simancas A. (G)
Coaches
Nino J.
Ayala C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Garcia J. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
64', Perez Balcazar J. E. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
65', Ricaurte A. 🟨,
69', Figueroa J. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Rivaldo J. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Ricaurte A. ↓, Lara Vasquez N. ↑,
73', Obregon J. ↓, Suarez Chalare F. A. ↑,
76', Pardo F. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
76', Castillo J. ↓, Meza Mercado E. W. ↑,
76', Rosales Y. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
84', Cantillo F. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
86', Roa J. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
87', Lozano D. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
90', Salazar A. 🟨,
90+3', Hernandez D. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Rionegro Águilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Rionegro Águilas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:2. (average 1.3:0.2).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Aguilas
12
3
6
3
16:17
-1
15
15
Alianza
13
3
3
7
14:26
-12
12
Last Results with these Odds
Alianza Valledupar - the odds 4.7 are the expected chance of winning is 19.51%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Salazar A. (G) 
Lopes H. 
Fernandez W. 
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