The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Quindío 51.6%
Draw 28.3%
Bogotá 20.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.9%
30.2%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
30.6%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Quindío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Quindío's performance.
Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bogotá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Quindío that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bogotá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Deportes Quindío - Bogotá Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Deportes Quindío will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Silva J. (G) 9. Bacca M. 25. Carabali R. A. F. 7. Lloreda J. 20. Ocampo J. 6. Orozco S. 28. Ortiz J. S. 5. Roa S. 19. Sandoval J. 16. Torres Y. 8. Valencia F.
29. Aguilar A. (G) 7. Aladesanmi K. (C) 21. Arango J. 31. Asprilla C. 3. Diaz S. 32. Gutierrez A. 81. Mosquera Y. 2. Palacios M. 8. Perez J. 20. Segura N. 15. Velasco J.
Substitutes
21. Alvarez A. 3. Castano M. 18. Cordoba J. 4. Delgado J. 24. Ibarguen J. P. 11. Lopez S. 15. Mosquera F. 12. Pabon S. (G) 14. Rodrigo Moran L.
19. Estupinan D. 40. Leon R. 28. Medina M. 1. Osorno J. (G) 36. Palacios J. 9. Perea S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Ibarguen J. P. ⚽,
69', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 2.
Deportes Quindío is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bogotá has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Deportes Quindío could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Deportes Quindío for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Quindío has recorded 8 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:22 (averaging 1.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportes Quindío against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 22:9 goals (averaging 2.4:1 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Quindio
15
6
5
4
14:13
1
23
10
Bogota
15
4
6
5
11:14
-3
18
Last Results with these Odds
Bogotá - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.84%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.